(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vinh Hoan Seafood (stock code VHC) announced that its export turnover to three key markets— the U.S., EU, and China—grew between 32% and 40% in November 2024 compared to the same period in 2023.
Vinh Hoan Corporation (Vinh Hoan Seafood, stock code VHC, listed on HoSE) reported total revenue of VND 968 billion for November 2024, marking a 13% increase compared to November 2023 but a 20% decrease compared to October 2024.
Regarding the structure, revenue from pangasius products accounted for 54% of total revenue in November 2024, amounting to VND 524 billion, a 39% increase year-on-year. By-product revenue made up 17.7%, reaching VND 171 billion, a 48% increase. Conversely, revenue from other products, health products, rice noodles, rice cakes, shrimp chips, and value-added products all declined compared to the same period in 2023.
Regarding the market structure, in November 2024, the majority of Vinh Hoan Seafood's revenue came from the U.S. market, which generated VND 298 billion, a 40% increase year-on-year. The Vietnamese market followed with VND 297 billion, reflecting a 9% decrease. Meanwhile, revenue from the Chinese and EU markets both grew by 32%, reaching VND 80 billion and VND 163 billion, respectively.
According to Viet Dragon Securities (VDSC), Vinh Hoan’s gross profit margin in Q4 2024 is unlikely to grow significantly compared to Q3 2024, due to rising raw fish prices and the end of the festive season. Market data shows that raw fish prices in November 2024 rose to VND 28,000/kg, up from the VND 26,000–27,000/kg range in April.
Amid rising input costs, Vinh Hoan plans to negotiate higher selling prices to stabilize gross margins. However, VDSC believes this is unlikely to succeed, given declining inventory demand as the festive season has passed in some markets.
However, VDSC notes that if former President Donald Trump decides to impose import tariffs on Chinese seafood at rates between 60% and 100%, significantly higher than other countries' rates (10%–20%), the pangasius industry could benefit considerably. Vinh Hoan, whose largest export market is the U.S., stands to gain the most.
Currently, Vinh Hoan is Vietnam's largest exporter of frozen pangasius fillets to the U.S., commanding a 47% market share. In the most optimistic scenario, VDSC forecasts that Vinh Hoan's post-tax profit could reach VND 1.872 trillion by 2026.