1. Seafood exports set a historic record at $11.3 billion
In 2025, Vietnam’s seafood export turnover reached $11.3 billion, up 13% year-on-year, setting a new all-time high for the industry. This achievement came despite severe global trade volatility and a series of stringent barriers from major markets, particularly the United States, including reciprocal tariffs, shrimp anti-dumping risks and MMPA regulations.
The industry’s strong performance was driven by three key factors. First, rising global food stockpiling demand amid geopolitical uncertainties. Second, the proactive and flexible response of Vietnamese enterprises, which identified risks early, adjusted shipment schedules, and accelerated exports ahead of unfavorable policy changes. Third, the effective utilization of free trade agreements (CPTPP, EVFTA, RCEP), enabling breakthroughs in potential markets and offsetting difficulties in traditional destinations.
2. Turbulence from U.S trade policies and countervailing duties
From early April 2025, the US administration announced a new reciprocal tariff policy targeting more than 75 countries with large trade surpluses. Vietnam was initially proposed a tariff rate of up to 46%, later reduced to 20% from August 2025 following intensive negotiations.
The 'double taxation' effect (reciprocal duties layered on top of anti-dumping and countervailing duties) triggered a shipment rush in Q2/2025 before enforcement. This has fundamentally reshaped seafood trade flows: while the shrimp sector faced mounting pressure and surging costs, pangasius exporters capitalized on the opportunity created by high U.S. tariffs on Chinese tilapia to consolidate their market share. Nevertheless, these barriers forced enterprises to recalibrate pricing strategies and accelerate market diversification toward more stable destinations such as Japan, the EU, and CPTPP markets.
3. Favorable anti-dumping results for pangasius in the U.S
In June 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) announced the final results of the 20th administrative review (POR20) on frozen pangasius fillets imported from Vietnam for the period August 1, 2022 - July 31, 2023, delivering a positive signal for the billion-dollar industry. Notably, seven Vietnamese pangasius exporters received a 0% duty rate, an addition of six companies compared to the previous review. In particular, Vinh Hoan Corporation was officially removed from the tax review list following a historic bilateral agreement between Vietnam and the United States earlier in 2025.
4. Adverse preliminary POR19 results for the shrimp industry
In the short term, Vietnamese shrimp exporters faced heightened short-term risks from the preliminary POR19 anti-dumping review on frozen shrimp exports to the US. The preliminary ruling by the US Department of Commerce indicated an anti-dumping margin of up to 35.29%, far exceeding market expectations. The final determination, expected in February 2026, is expected to heavily impact shrimp exports performance throughout the remainder of 2026.
5. US rejects MMPA equivalency for 12 Vietnamese fisheries
In August 2025, the U.S announced its refusal to grant 'comparability' status to 12 Vietnamese fisheries under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), resulting in an import ban effective January 1, 2026. Affected species include groupers, crabs and other crustaceans, cuttlefish, groundfish, flounder, mullet, snapper, sole, scad, lobster, mackerel, tuna, marlin, and swordfish harvested using the 12 designated fishing methods.
Key reasons cited included the presence of endangered marine mammals (such as dolphins) in high-risk fishing grounds, along with insufficient monitoring and reporting of bycatch. Although Vietnam prohibits the intentional harvesting or killing of marine mammals - with violations subject to criminal or administrative penalties - existing mitigation measures have yet to demonstrate sufficient effectiveness in reducing incidental catch below allowable thresholds.
If unresolved, the issue could affect over $500 million in annual seafood exports from these 12 fisheries to the United States, accounting for nearly one-quarter of Vietnam’s exports of these species with tuna alone representing 18%, followed by crab (3%) and squid (nearly 1%).
From January 1, 2026, 11 fisheries will be banned, while the blue swimming crab fishery has been granted a six-month extension from November 12, 2025. Exporters will be required to obtain Certificates of Admissibility (COA) for MMPA-compliant products.
6. Kien Giang blue swimming crab earns "Grade A" rating
Regarding resource management, the Kien Giang Blue Swimming Crab Fishery Improvement Project (FIP) was upgraded to Grade A by FisheryProgress in September 2025. Importantly, FIP assessments confirmed that current crab fishing practices in Vietnam show no recorded negative impact on marine mammals.
On October 31, 2025, the U.S Court of International Trade issued a temporary injunction suspending the U.S import ban on blue swimming crabs from Vietnam and three other Asian countries. The ruling allows exports to continue while granting Vietnam additional time to submit scientific evidence supporting MMPA equivalency.
7. Decree 309/2025 suspends minimum catch-size rules for 10 species
On November 29, 2025, Deputy Prime Minister Tran Hong Ha signed Decree No. 309/2025/ND-CP, amending regulations guiding the implementation of the Fisheries Law.
The decree suspends minimum catch-size requirements for 10 aquatic species, including frigate tuna, kawakawa, largehead hairtail, longtail shad, bullet tuna, yellowfin tuna, bigeye tuna, skipjack tuna, hard-shell shrimp and squid (Loligo chinensis and Loligo edulis).
The adjustment aims to resolve administrative bottlenecks and better align management rules with on-the-ground fishing realities.
8. Intensified government action against IUU fishing
2025 marked a peak phase in Vietnam’s efforts to remove the European Commission’s (EC) 'yellow card' warning. The Government and the Prime Minister issued firm and continuous directives, including weekly meetings of the National IUU Steering Committee, underscoring the highest level of political commitment.
VASEP reaffirmed its commitment to working closely with the Government and ministries and relevant ministries with the highest spirit of proactivity. The Association has been intensifying communication and advocacy efforts within the business community to ensure strict compliance with IUU regulations, while maintaining a firm stance against the procurement of seafood from unverified sources.
9. Decree 320/2025/ND-CP: Corporate income tax incentives confirmed
After nearly five years of advocacy, VASEP and the seafood business community welcomed a major breakthrough: seafood processing activities are now officially eligible for Corporate Income Tax (CIT) incentives under Decree 320/2025/ND-CP, issued on December 15, 2025.
The enactment of Decree 320/2025/ND-CP not only reduces tax burdens but also establishes a clear legal framework, enhancing the competitiveness of Vietnam’s seafood exports.
10. National Assembly passes amendments to the VAT Law
At its year-end 2025 session, the National Assembly of Vietnam approved amendments to the Value-Added Tax Law. This is regarded as a pivotal decision to promptly address emerging regulatory hurdles, despite the fact that the revised VAT Law had only been in effect for a short period.
The revised law focuses on resolving three major issues: (i) Eliminating the 'pay-then-refund' cycle for pre-processed agricultural products; (ii) Granting full VAT exemption for non-taxable inputs such as animal feed and (iii) Removing the requirement that conditions tax refunds on the supplier’s full tax declaration and payment.
These changes are expected to unlock frozen working capital, improve cash-flow flexibility and reduce legal risks for seafood exporters across the supply chain.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In February 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports reached USD 119 million, down slightly 5% year-on-year. However, thanks to strong performance in January, cumulative exports in the first two months of the year still reached USD 331 million, up 28% compared to the same period in 2025. Export activity slowed somewhat in February due to seasonal factors, particularly the Lunar New Year holiday, which disrupted production and shipments at many seafood processing enterprises.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Da Nang is accelerating the development of high-tech shrimp farming toward intensive production, disease control, and improved efficiency. Many shrimp farms have invested in automated environmental monitoring systems, continuously tracking indicators such as pH, dissolved oxygen, temperature, and salinity, enabling farmers to promptly adjust pond conditions and reduce disease risks.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 is considered a turning point for Vietnam’s shrimp seed industry as the sector faces the need for strong transformation in technology, production management, and gradual self-sufficiency in broodstock supply. These factors are seen as key to improving seed quality and strengthening the competitiveness of the shrimp industry amid increasingly demanding market requirements.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In February 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached nearly USD 310 million, up 17% year-on-year. Cumulatively for the first two months of the year, shrimp export value totaled USD 690 million, an increase of 20% compared with the same period last year. Compared with the 22% growth recorded in January, the pace of increase in February slowed somewhat, reflecting seasonal factors as the Lunar New Year holiday partially disrupted processing and shipment activities. Nevertheless, the nearly 20% growth in the first two months indicates that shrimp orders from Vietnam are maintaining a more positive trend than in the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the latest statistics for January 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius export value to major market blocs recorded encouraging growth compared with the same period last year, indicating that consumption demand is gradually recovering.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports in February 2026 reached approximately USD 707 million, up 8% compared to the same period last year. Cumulatively, exports in the first two months of 2026 totaled USD 1.7 billion, an increase of 20.2% year-on-year. The results show that the sector’s recovery momentum has remained relatively solid following strong growth in January, although the pace slowed noticeably in February for several key products and major markets. Within the overall picture, shrimp continues to be the largest pillar, pangasius rebounds strongly, while tuna exports and the U.S. and Korean markets are sending signals that warrant closer monitoring. In March, seafood exports are expected to gain additional momentum from markets other than the U.S., potentially supporting stronger growth.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first months of 2026, fishing activities in Quang Tri province recorded many positive signals, with output reaching over 15,941 tons. This result not only demonstrates fishermen’s efforts to stay offshore but also reflects the effectiveness of management and support measures implemented by local authorities.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first months of 2026, IUU prevention models focused on communication and mobilizing fishermen to comply with fisheries laws and avoid encroaching on foreign waters—related to combating illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing—have been implemented in coastal localities of Lam Dong province and have delivered initial positive results.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The sharp rise in raw pangasius prices to record levels is sending positive signals for the industry, but experts warn of potential supply–demand imbalances if production is not tightly controlled.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to statistics from Vietnam Customs, the country’s total canned tuna export value in 2025 reached over USD 275 million, down 8% compared to 2024. Vietnamese canned tuna products were present in approximately 80 markets worldwide. However, the 2025 picture shows clear divergence: the U.S. maintained stability, the EU declined sharply, while several Middle East–North Africa (MENA) markets accelerated.
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