1. Seafood exports set a historic record at $11.3 billion
In 2025, Vietnam’s seafood export turnover reached $11.3 billion, up 13% year-on-year, setting a new all-time high for the industry. This achievement came despite severe global trade volatility and a series of stringent barriers from major markets, particularly the United States, including reciprocal tariffs, shrimp anti-dumping risks and MMPA regulations.
The industry’s strong performance was driven by three key factors. First, rising global food stockpiling demand amid geopolitical uncertainties. Second, the proactive and flexible response of Vietnamese enterprises, which identified risks early, adjusted shipment schedules, and accelerated exports ahead of unfavorable policy changes. Third, the effective utilization of free trade agreements (CPTPP, EVFTA, RCEP), enabling breakthroughs in potential markets and offsetting difficulties in traditional destinations.
2. Turbulence from U.S trade policies and countervailing duties
From early April 2025, the US administration announced a new reciprocal tariff policy targeting more than 75 countries with large trade surpluses. Vietnam was initially proposed a tariff rate of up to 46%, later reduced to 20% from August 2025 following intensive negotiations.
The 'double taxation' effect (reciprocal duties layered on top of anti-dumping and countervailing duties) triggered a shipment rush in Q2/2025 before enforcement. This has fundamentally reshaped seafood trade flows: while the shrimp sector faced mounting pressure and surging costs, pangasius exporters capitalized on the opportunity created by high U.S. tariffs on Chinese tilapia to consolidate their market share. Nevertheless, these barriers forced enterprises to recalibrate pricing strategies and accelerate market diversification toward more stable destinations such as Japan, the EU, and CPTPP markets.
3. Favorable anti-dumping results for pangasius in the U.S
In June 2025, the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) announced the final results of the 20th administrative review (POR20) on frozen pangasius fillets imported from Vietnam for the period August 1, 2022 - July 31, 2023, delivering a positive signal for the billion-dollar industry. Notably, seven Vietnamese pangasius exporters received a 0% duty rate, an addition of six companies compared to the previous review. In particular, Vinh Hoan Corporation was officially removed from the tax review list following a historic bilateral agreement between Vietnam and the United States earlier in 2025.
4. Adverse preliminary POR19 results for the shrimp industry
In the short term, Vietnamese shrimp exporters faced heightened short-term risks from the preliminary POR19 anti-dumping review on frozen shrimp exports to the US. The preliminary ruling by the US Department of Commerce indicated an anti-dumping margin of up to 35.29%, far exceeding market expectations. The final determination, expected in February 2026, is expected to heavily impact shrimp exports performance throughout the remainder of 2026.
5. US rejects MMPA equivalency for 12 Vietnamese fisheries
In August 2025, the U.S announced its refusal to grant 'comparability' status to 12 Vietnamese fisheries under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), resulting in an import ban effective January 1, 2026. Affected species include groupers, crabs and other crustaceans, cuttlefish, groundfish, flounder, mullet, snapper, sole, scad, lobster, mackerel, tuna, marlin, and swordfish harvested using the 12 designated fishing methods.
Key reasons cited included the presence of endangered marine mammals (such as dolphins) in high-risk fishing grounds, along with insufficient monitoring and reporting of bycatch. Although Vietnam prohibits the intentional harvesting or killing of marine mammals - with violations subject to criminal or administrative penalties - existing mitigation measures have yet to demonstrate sufficient effectiveness in reducing incidental catch below allowable thresholds.
If unresolved, the issue could affect over $500 million in annual seafood exports from these 12 fisheries to the United States, accounting for nearly one-quarter of Vietnam’s exports of these species with tuna alone representing 18%, followed by crab (3%) and squid (nearly 1%).
From January 1, 2026, 11 fisheries will be banned, while the blue swimming crab fishery has been granted a six-month extension from November 12, 2025. Exporters will be required to obtain Certificates of Admissibility (COA) for MMPA-compliant products.
6. Kien Giang blue swimming crab earns "Grade A" rating
Regarding resource management, the Kien Giang Blue Swimming Crab Fishery Improvement Project (FIP) was upgraded to Grade A by FisheryProgress in September 2025. Importantly, FIP assessments confirmed that current crab fishing practices in Vietnam show no recorded negative impact on marine mammals.
On October 31, 2025, the U.S Court of International Trade issued a temporary injunction suspending the U.S import ban on blue swimming crabs from Vietnam and three other Asian countries. The ruling allows exports to continue while granting Vietnam additional time to submit scientific evidence supporting MMPA equivalency.
7. Decree 309/2025 suspends minimum catch-size rules for 10 species
On November 29, 2025, Deputy Prime Minister Tran Hong Ha signed Decree No. 309/2025/ND-CP, amending regulations guiding the implementation of the Fisheries Law.
The decree suspends minimum catch-size requirements for 10 aquatic species, including frigate tuna, kawakawa, largehead hairtail, longtail shad, bullet tuna, yellowfin tuna, bigeye tuna, skipjack tuna, hard-shell shrimp and squid (Loligo chinensis and Loligo edulis).
The adjustment aims to resolve administrative bottlenecks and better align management rules with on-the-ground fishing realities.
8. Intensified government action against IUU fishing
2025 marked a peak phase in Vietnam’s efforts to remove the European Commission’s (EC) 'yellow card' warning. The Government and the Prime Minister issued firm and continuous directives, including weekly meetings of the National IUU Steering Committee, underscoring the highest level of political commitment.
VASEP reaffirmed its commitment to working closely with the Government and ministries and relevant ministries with the highest spirit of proactivity. The Association has been intensifying communication and advocacy efforts within the business community to ensure strict compliance with IUU regulations, while maintaining a firm stance against the procurement of seafood from unverified sources.
9. Decree 320/2025/ND-CP: Corporate income tax incentives confirmed
After nearly five years of advocacy, VASEP and the seafood business community welcomed a major breakthrough: seafood processing activities are now officially eligible for Corporate Income Tax (CIT) incentives under Decree 320/2025/ND-CP, issued on December 15, 2025.
The enactment of Decree 320/2025/ND-CP not only reduces tax burdens but also establishes a clear legal framework, enhancing the competitiveness of Vietnam’s seafood exports.
10. National Assembly passes amendments to the VAT Law
At its year-end 2025 session, the National Assembly of Vietnam approved amendments to the Value-Added Tax Law. This is regarded as a pivotal decision to promptly address emerging regulatory hurdles, despite the fact that the revised VAT Law had only been in effect for a short period.
The revised law focuses on resolving three major issues: (i) Eliminating the 'pay-then-refund' cycle for pre-processed agricultural products; (ii) Granting full VAT exemption for non-taxable inputs such as animal feed and (iii) Removing the requirement that conditions tax refunds on the supplier’s full tax declaration and payment.
These changes are expected to unlock frozen working capital, improve cash-flow flexibility and reduce legal risks for seafood exporters across the supply chain.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) From the very beginning of 2026, India’s shrimp industry has received a series of favorable trade signals: U.S. reciprocal tariffs have been reduced, while the successful conclusion of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the EU has opened prospects for eliminating nearly all seafood tariffs in the coming years. This shift not only enables Indian shrimp to quickly offset declines in the U.S. market, but also reshapes the global competitive landscape, placing greater pressure on Vietnamese shrimp exporters in terms of price, market share, and strategic positioning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius industry is recording many positive signals, both in terms of raw fish prices and export prospects. Export turnover this year is projected to reach approximately USD 2.3 billion. Amid ongoing volatility in the global market, diversifying export destinations, reducing dependence on major markets, and effectively leveraging free trade agreements (FTAs) are considered key to maintaining sustainable growth and creating new momentum for the pangasius sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With forecasts indicating that weather conditions in 2026 may become more complex—featuring prolonged heatwaves, unseasonal rains, and increased salinity intrusion—the agricultural sector of Can Tho City advises brackish water shrimp farmers to strictly follow the seasonal farming calendar and strengthen pond environmental management to minimize risks and improve production efficiency.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On February 4, a working delegation led by the Authority of Telecommunications (Ministry of Science and Technology) met with the Management Board of Cat Lo Fishing Port (Phuoc Thang Ward, Ho Chi Minh City) to comprehensively review the installation of Vessel Monitoring Systems (VMS), assess signal connectivity, and evaluate the effectiveness of information technology applications in fisheries management across the city.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 marked a significant milestone for China’s lobster market, with total imports reaching a record high and the supply structure undergoing major changes. Amid this surge, Vietnam’s lobster exports—especially green lobster—accelerated dramatically, reaching new highs and contributing substantially to Vietnam’s overall record shrimp export value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With a range of synchronized solutions, from institutional improvements and strengthened communication to strict fleet control, Quang Ninh is stepping up efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing, determined to join the country in soon having the European Commission’s (EC) “yellow card” lifted.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 closed with a remarkable milestone for Vietnam’s shrimp industry. According to Vietnam Customs, the country’s total shrimp export turnover in 2025 reached USD 4.6 billion, up 19% compared to 2024 and the highest level ever recorded.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) During the 2026–2030 period, Quang Tri province aims to convert 771 fishing vessels currently engaged in activities detrimental to marine resources and the ecological environment to more environmentally friendly fishing practices or shift entirely to other economic sectors.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) 2025 recorded a breakthrough growth in Vietnam’s tilapia exports, in which the U.S market emerging as the primary growth driver. The total export turnover of Vietnamese tilapia to the United States reached $53.15 million during the year, surging 173% year-on-year and accounting for 54% of Vietnam’s total tilapia export value, thereby making the U.S the largest import market for this commodity. Compared to 2024, tilapia exports to the U.S posted robust growth, reflecting the import demand as well as the ability of Vietnamese enterprises to capitalize on market opportunities amidst volatile global competitive dynamics.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After two consecutive years of decline, Vietnam’s fish cake and surimi exports rebounded in 2025. Export turnover of this product group exceeded USD 344 million, up 15% year-on-year compared with 2024 and 13% higher than 2023, although still below the peak level recorded in 2022.
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