This growth reflects the recovery of demand in many major markets, particularly in Asia and CPTPP member countries. At the same time, Vietnamese companies’ strategies of expanding into niche markets and tapping non-traditional markets are proving effective.
Asia continues to play a leading role
South Korea remains the largest market with $42 million in exports, up 26% year-on-year. However, in June, exports to this market fell slightly compared to May, indicating a period of demand adjustment following the strong performance in the first and second quarters.
Thailand recorded $39 million, up 28%, continuing to serve as an ASEAN hub for surimi processing and re-export.
China & Hong Kong achieved the highest growth at 49%, reaching $22 million. This is the result of China imports for processing raw materials due to domestic supply shortages.
CPTPP and Japan see steady recovery
Exports to CPTPP member countries hit nearly $26 million, up 19%, driven by the recovery of orders from Japan (24% growth), Malaysia (6%) and Canada (21%). This is a positive signal showing that tariff preferences under the CPTPP agreement continue to help maintain the competitive advantage of Vietnamese seafood in these markets.
EU market shows strong but uneven growth
Total exports to the EU reached $13 million, up 3%, largely driven by Lithuania ($11 million, up 45%). Some smaller markets saw sudden growth compared to the same period such as Spain (840% growth, under $1 million) and Belgium (156%). Meanwhile, exports to France and Italy are still declining, but the rate of decline is slowing.
The U.S market slows down
Exports to the U.S in the first half of 2025 reached $6 million, up 15% year-on-year. However, in June alone, they fell sharply by 35.4% compared to the previous month. This decline raises concerns that the US may be adjusting its import policies or shifting orders to other suppliers, particularly as countervailing duties and subsidy investigations expand in the seafood sector.
Expanding exports to niche markets
Many small or emerging export markets for Vietnamese fish cakes and surimi are posting triple-digit growth rates, such as the UAE (up 470%), Mauritius (261%) and New Zealand (1,171%). This shows that there is still considerable market potential if businesses focus on products tailored to the preferences of each market.
However, the scale of these markets remains small and insufficient to offset losses if exports to large markets like the US or EU encounter obstacles.
While current growth is positive, Vietnam’s fish cake and surimi exports will face several challenges in the second half of the year. First, price competition from regional rivals such as India, Thailand and China. Secondly, logistics and raw material costs are expected to rise from Q3. Third, changing consumer preferences in developed countries, particularly declining consumption of ready-to-eat frozen products in the US and Europe.
If the current export momentum is maintained and strategies are adjusted flexibly, total fish cake and surimi export revenue in 2025 is forecast to continue growing. However, this is the optimistic scenario, which largely depends on trade policy developments in major markets, especially the US.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first three months of 2026, Vietnam’s exports of fish cake and surimi reached USD 63 million, down 5% compared to the same period last year. Although total export value declined slightly due to decreases in some key markets, many other destinations continued to post strong growth, opening up room for this convenience-oriented processed segment in the coming quarters.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Favorable weather conditions in the early months of 2026 have brought encouraging signs for fisheries activities in Quang Tri. Output has grown steadily, contributing to improved livelihoods for local residents.
Entering 2026, Vietnam’s seafood industry is facing a period of both high expectations and mounting pressures. Following the positive recovery in 2025, production and export activities in Q1/2026 demonstrated the strong adaptability of Vietnam’s seafood business community amid continued global trade volatility, intensifying international competition, and increasingly stringent compliance requirements in import markets.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first quarter of 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached USD 1.069 billion, up 17.5% compared to the same period in 2025. This is a positive result amid an uneven global shrimp market recovery, intensifying competition among major suppliers, and continued volatility in the international trade environment. However, this growth does not reflect a broad-based recovery across the entire sector, but rather is driven mainly by strong performance in a few markets and specific product segments—most notably lobster exports to China.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports continued to decline in March 2026. Cumulatively, in the first three months of the year, export value reached USD 208 million, down 4% compared to the same period in 2025. The export landscape shows clear divergence across markets: while the U.S. and EU remain challenging, markets such as Russia, the Middle East, Egypt, the Philippines, and Mexico have emerged as growth bright spots.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In Quang Ngai Province, shrimp farming costs are rising sharply due to लगातार increases in feed, fuel, and input material prices, while farm-gate shrimp prices are declining. This has significantly reduced farmers’ profit margins and increased production risks.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tilapia exports are experiencing impressive growth, reflecting expanding global demand as well as the sector’s development potential. However, behind the strong growth figures lie limitations in production capacity and supply chains, highlighting the need for sustainable development in the coming period.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the Middle East in 2025 and early 2026 have shown notable growth. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the region have increasingly impacted export activities since March. This situation presents a challenge of balancing market expansion opportunities with rising trade risks.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The Quang Tri Department of Agriculture and Environment has instructed localities to base their stocking schedules on actual conditions in each farming area, while developing plans, allocating resources, and implementing synchronized measures for disease prevention and disaster risk management in aquaculture production.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first two months of 2026, Vietnam’s exports of fish cakes and surimi exceeded USD 45 million, up 7% compared to the same period in 2025, indicating a positive outlook for this product segment amid recovering demand in many markets.
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