In the first two months of 2023, Vietnam's pangasius exports decreased in both value and volume, with a decrease of 48% and 35% year-on-year, respectively. This downward trend is mainly due to the sudden drop in import demand, especially the US. The average selling price decreased by 14% over the same period in 2022 and by 50% from the peak set in the second quarter of 2022.
Enterprises that rely heavily on the US market such as Vinh Hoan and BIEN DONG Seafood have the largest decrease in export value in the first two months of the year, with -48% and -75% respectively over the same period in 2022.
In contrast, companies with a large distribution market share in China such as Navico, IDI, Godaco can take advantage of the recovery of this market to mitigate the impact, helping these enterprises to maintain the slighter fall in export value.
Navico is one of the export companies that can significantly benefit from the recovery of the Chinese economy
Navico is one of the export companies that can significantly benefit from the recovery of the Chinese economy. The increase in orders from the Chinese market will help Navico's pangasius export volume to grow again, thereby compensating for the declining trend in other markets.
Although Navico's profit in 2023 is better than the general situation of the industry, it will still be difficult to achieve positive growth due to the high base recorded in the same period in 2022.
Navico currently accounts for 15% of pangasius export value from Vietnam to China. The export price in the Chinese market is still relatively stable, the demand of this market is still high because it just opened after the prolonged Covid-19 lockdown. Navico intends to expand the customer base to boost orders in this market. Export volume to China is expected to grow by about 45% in 2023 and is the main growth driver for Navico.
In 2023, Navico is expected to reach VND 4,612 billion in net revenue and VND 619 billion in profit after tax, down 5.8% and 8.1% respectively compared to 2022.
Forecast on Vietnam pangasius industry in 2023 - 2025
Compiled by Thuy Linh
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2026 marks a period of strong growth for Vietnam’s tilapia industry, but it is also a time when international export competition is becoming increasingly intense. Vietnam’s tilapia exports reached USD 99 million in 2025, up 140% compared to the previous year. In the first four months of 2026 alone, export value reached USD 49 million, a 151% increase year-on-year. As global demand for affordable whitefish continues to rise, Vietnam is emerging as a noteworthy competitor to traditional tilapia powerhouses such as China, Indonesia, Brazil, and Egypt.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With continued policy support, technological innovation and close coordination among authorities, businesses and farmers, Vietnam’s pangasius industry is expected to make a strong and sustainable breakthrough during the 2026–2030 period, reinforcing its position as the world’s leading exporter of the fish.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) During the first four months of 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports to Asian markets showed varying trends across regions and countries. The Middle East recorded strong growth, with Saudi Arabia emerging as the largest Asian market for Vietnamese tilapia. ASEAN markets also expanded significantly, driven primarily by Malaysia. Meanwhile, Japan maintained solid growth, while exports to South Korea declined compared to the same period in 2025.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Shrimp and pangasius continued to lead growth, helping seafood exports reach $4.67 billion in the first five months of the year; however, differentiation among product groups and increasingly stringent requirements from importing markets are posing many challenges for the industry.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Every day, the seafood processing industry in Ca Mau generates large quantities of shrimp heads and shells during processing operations. In the past, these by-products were largely treated as waste, increasing production costs and posing potential environmental risks. However, thanks to advanced processing technologies, materials once considered waste are now being transformed into high-value products, creating a circular economy model within the seafood industry.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam Clean Seafood Corporation has invested in a 280-hectare super-intensive shrimp farming zone in Tran De Commune, Can Tho City, generating export value of approximately VND 3 billion per hectare per year—around 50 times higher than traditional agricultural production.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports reached USD 1.02 billion in May 2026, up 0.6% year-on-year. Cumulative exports in the first five months of 2026 totaled USD 4.67 billion, an increase of 11% compared to the same period in 2025.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In a rapidly changing global seafood market, timely insights and reliable data are more critical than ever. The Report on Vietnam Seafood Exports in Q1/2026 provides a comprehensive overview of the latest developments in Vietnam’s seafood production, trade performance, and export trends, helping businesses navigate uncertainty and identify new growth opportunities.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) While many major markets continue to experience slow growth, Russia has emerged as a brighter destination for Vietnamese tuna exports in early 2026. Export turnover to this market increased by nearly 55% in the first four months of the year, indicating a clear improvement in demand. Nevertheless, Russia remains a market that should be viewed with both optimism and caution.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius exports have shown encouraging signs of recovery in 2026. In the first four months of the year, total export turnover reached USD 720 million, up 17% compared to the same period last year. This result reflects improving demand across many markets, as well as the efforts of Vietnamese pangasius enterprises to maintain production, secure orders, and adapt to changing market conditions.
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