In the first two months of 2023, Vietnam's pangasius exports decreased in both value and volume, with a decrease of 48% and 35% year-on-year, respectively. This downward trend is mainly due to the sudden drop in import demand, especially the US. The average selling price decreased by 14% over the same period in 2022 and by 50% from the peak set in the second quarter of 2022.
Enterprises that rely heavily on the US market such as Vinh Hoan and BIEN DONG Seafood have the largest decrease in export value in the first two months of the year, with -48% and -75% respectively over the same period in 2022.
In contrast, companies with a large distribution market share in China such as Navico, IDI, Godaco can take advantage of the recovery of this market to mitigate the impact, helping these enterprises to maintain the slighter fall in export value.
Navico is one of the export companies that can significantly benefit from the recovery of the Chinese economy
Navico is one of the export companies that can significantly benefit from the recovery of the Chinese economy. The increase in orders from the Chinese market will help Navico's pangasius export volume to grow again, thereby compensating for the declining trend in other markets.
Although Navico's profit in 2023 is better than the general situation of the industry, it will still be difficult to achieve positive growth due to the high base recorded in the same period in 2022.
Navico currently accounts for 15% of pangasius export value from Vietnam to China. The export price in the Chinese market is still relatively stable, the demand of this market is still high because it just opened after the prolonged Covid-19 lockdown. Navico intends to expand the customer base to boost orders in this market. Export volume to China is expected to grow by about 45% in 2023 and is the main growth driver for Navico.
In 2023, Navico is expected to reach VND 4,612 billion in net revenue and VND 619 billion in profit after tax, down 5.8% and 8.1% respectively compared to 2022.
Forecast on Vietnam pangasius industry in 2023 - 2025
Compiled by Thuy Linh
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnamese seafood exports recorded impressive growth, generating nearly 6 billion USD in revenue during the first six months of the year, up 13% compared with the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Fishermen in Ha Tinh are gradually overcoming difficulties to maintain the efficiency of seafood exploitation. In the first six months of 2026, the entire province achieved a production of more than 23,000 tons of seafood, worth more than 1,200 billion VND.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) June 2026 brought encouraging signs for Vietnam's tuna exports, with export value rising 20% year-on-year to nearly USD 72 million. However, this increase has yet to offset the prolonged slowdown seen in key markets such as the European Union (EU), where import demand remains weak. The outlook for the second half of the year is expected to become more challenging as freight rates continue to climb.
(vasep.com.vn) As part of the Vietnam Fisheries International Exhibition (Vietfish 2026), the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP), in collaboration with the Agency for Domestic Market Management and Development under the Ministry of Industry and Trade, will organize the Domestic Seafood Supply–Demand Matching Program on the morning of August 20, 2026, at the Saigon Exhibition and Convention Center (SECC), Ho Chi Minh City. The program aims to foster direct business connections between Vietnamese seafood producers and processors and domestic distributors, retailers, and foodservice channels.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The Cooking Show will be one of the most engaging experiential highlights of Vietfish 2026. Taking place over three days, from August 19–21, 2026, at Hall B1, SECC, Ho Chi Minh City, the event will offer visitors a vibrant culinary space where Vietnamese seafood is showcased through its flavors, stories, and real-life culinary applications.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam's pangasius exports reached USD 205 million in June 2026, up 5% compared with the same month in 2025. Cumulative export value for the first six months of the year totaled USD 1.1 billion, an increase of 12% year-on-year. Growth was primarily driven by strong demand from China and CPTPP markets, while exports to the United States and Brazil continued to decline.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first six months of 2026, Ha Tinh province continued to implement comprehensive solutions to combat IUU fishing; strictly manage the fishing fleet, control fishing vessels entering and leaving ports, operate vessel tracking devices, trace the origin of seafood, and severely punish violations.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam's tilapia exports reached USD 7 million in June 2026, down 32% compared with the same month in 2025. Nevertheless, thanks to strong growth in the first five months of the year, cumulative tilapia exports in the first half of 2026 totaled USD 69 million, up 67% year on year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Sa Giang Import-Export Joint Stock Company, a member of the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP), has been honored with the "Famous Brand - Competitive Vietnamese Brand 2026" certification at an award ceremony organized by the Vietnam Intellectual Property Association (VIPA).
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) China imported nearly $1.4 billion worth of Vietnamese seafood in the first half of the year, a 40% increase compared to the same period last year, surpassing the US to become the largest export market for the industry.
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