Strong export growth with several breakthrough markets
Asian markets continue to serve as the backbone of the industry, with South Korea and Thailand leading the way, accounting for 25% and 23% of Vietnam’s total export value, respectively. Both markets recorded double-digit growth – 17% in South Korea and 24% in Thailand. Exports to countries under the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) also showed positive signals, with double-digit growth rates. The China & Hong Kong market continued to expand, rising 45% to nearly USD 36 million. Notably, the European Union (EU) recorded a remarkable surge of 79%, thanks to the recovery of demand in Lithuania and Spain. Another striking highlight was the sharp increase in Malaysia, where export value in the first nine months jumped 44%, indicating that Southeast Asia is becoming a promising consumption hub for Vietnam’s surimi products.
Global surimi industry recovers and shifts toward value-added products
In 2025, global surimi prices have shown a stable recovery after hitting bottom at the end of 2023. The main driver is the rebound in demand, particularly for ready-to-eat and convenience products such as crab sticks, fish cakes, and seafood patties. Major producers in Thailand, China, and Vietnam are investing heavily in deep-processing lines to enhance product value and meet increasingly stringent standards from import markets. At the same time, traceability, sustainability certification, and food safety compliance have become mandatory requirements to maintain export competitiveness.
Outlook for late 2025–2026: Stable growth amid fierce competition
Analysts forecast that global surimi prices will remain stable or increase slightly by the end of 2025, supported by well-managed raw material sources and recovering consumption demand. Entering 2026, the market is expected to grow sustainably at a rate of 5–7% per year, with Asia remaining the center of demand, while Europe and the U.S. expand their high-value product segments. However, Vietnamese exporters will also face growing competition from regional suppliers, along with rising logistics costs and technical barriers.
Opportunities for Vietnamese exporters
In this context, Vietnamese exporters need to proactively develop raw material strategies, invest in value-added products, and diversify markets and distribution channels. Expanding to fast-growing markets such as Malaysia and the EU, as well as leveraging tariff advantages from CPTPP members, will be viable directions. The year 2025 opens a favorable period for Vietnam to assert its position in the global surimi supply chain—not only as a raw material supplier, but as a competitive and sustainable processing and exporting partner.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After a slowdown in 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Germany showed more positive signs in the first quarter of 2026. However, the recovery remains uncertain as consumer demand in Germany is still cautious, while market competition is increasingly driven by pricing and supply stability.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After a sharp decline in 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Israel are showing positive signs of recovery in the early months of 2026. According to Vietnam Customs data, export turnover to this market grew steadily month by month in Q1/2026, reaching nearly USD 10 million, up 33% compared to the same period in 2025. However, compared to Q1/2024, this level remains significantly lower, indicating that the recovery is still in its early stage following last year’s strong adjustment.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, the U.S. whitefish market has shown complex developments as global cod supply continues to tighten, while the U.S. trade environment becomes less stable. In this context, the U.S. market has had to become more flexible in sourcing alternative whitefish. However, relying heavily on Alaska pollock is not a long-term solution, as it is a strictly managed fishery with quotas and sustainability regulations, limiting any rapid increase in output to offset cod shortages.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Aquaculture, capture fisheries, and seed production activities in Lam Dong in the early months of 2026 continued to show positive signs, with both output and farming area slightly increasing compared to the same period, contributing to maintaining overall industry stability.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to Vietnam Customs data, tuna exports in the first month of 2026 reached over USD 75 million, up 13% compared to the same period in 2025. Notably, exports increased in most key markets such as Japan, the EU, and Russia, while exports to the United States fell by 6%—a contrasting development amid ongoing adjustments in U.S. import tariff policies and new compliance requirements under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), which took effect at the beginning of the year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In March 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports recorded strong growth, reaching USD 15 million, up 109% compared to the same period in 2025. Cumulatively, in the first three months of 2026, export value reached USD 38 million, an increase of 174% year-on-year. This result highlights the sector’s robust expansion and reflects rapid growth across multiple markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In March 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius export value reached USD 182 million, up 1% compared to the same period in 2025. Cumulatively, exports in the first three months of 2026 totaled USD 514 million, an increase of 17% year-on-year, indicating that the growth momentum is being maintained despite signs of slowdown in some markets during March.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) During peak heat periods, farmers raising pangasius, tilapia, and other freshwater fish in Dong Thap are implementing various technical measures to reduce risks and maintain stable production.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Japan continues to be one of Vietnam’s most important and stable shrimp markets. In recent years, shrimp exports to this market have fluctuated in line with Japan’s broader economic and consumption cycles, yet Japan remains a major, high-value destination with stringent standards.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Spain increased by 13% compared to 2024. This growth trend has continued into the first two months of 2026. According to Vietnam Customs statistics, export turnover to this market reached nearly USD 3 million in January–February 2026, up 101% year-on-year and significantly higher than the same period in 2024. This development indicates that Spain is once again becoming a notable destination for Vietnamese tuna amid strong demand for tuna raw materials and products in Europe.
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