The US economy is unstable, gasoline and electricity prices have “cooled down”, but food prices are still high. The US consumers, especially the low-income class, had to change their diets and food purchase channels. There has been a trend that many consumers consider choosing chicken, beef or pork instead of seafood. Grocery stores with discount programs often have better sales than large supermarket channels. More and more people are choosing to buy home-cooked food to save money.
Any changes from the largest market has strongly affected the results of Vietnam's seafood export and the business situation of many enterprises. With $283 million, down 51% in the first quarter, the US is no longer Vietnam's No. 1 seafood market.
Japan has surpassed the US to become the largest import market of Vietnamese seafood
Japan has surpassed the US to become the largest import market of Vietnamese seafood, although exports to this market decreased by 7%, reaching over 322 million USD in the first quarter of 2023. The structure of seafood exports to Japan is leaning more towards seafood products such as squid, scad, pollock, tuna, grouper.
Japan is Vietnam's largest marine products consumption market, mainly in the marine fish segment, in which a significant part of raw fish is imported from Japan to Vietnam, processed and re-exported to this country. Therefore, seafood exports to Japan increased by 10% while the export of seafood products to other major markets such as the US, Korea and China, the EU all decreased by 6% - 45%.
Many enterprises are expecting the opening of the Chinese market will boost imports, offsetting the decline of other major markets. In the first two months of 2023, China's seafood imports from other countries increased by 32%, reaching over 560 thousand tons, with a value of over $2.7 billion, up 20%. Thus, consumption demand is clearly increasing, but the decrease in import prices to this market has affected sales of Vietnam’s seafood. Particularly for pangasius, in the first 2 months of 2023, China imported 18.4 thousand tons with an average price of 2.15 USD/kg, down 7% compared to the same period in 2022.
Therefore, by the end of the first quarter of 2023, Vietnam’s seafood exports to this market were still 27% lower than the same period last year.
The EU market also decreased by 29% in the value of seafood imports from Vietnam in the first quarter, reaching only 210 million USD. Exports of shrimp and seafood products to the EU all decreased by 7-50%. Exports of pangasius were more stable, thanks to increased exports to the German market.
Exports to the top 5 largest markets in the EU including Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, Italy and Spain all decreased by 4-44% over the same period. However, many small markets, especially countries in Eastern Europe, still increase imports of Vietnamese seafood, especially pangasius products. Specifically, seafood exports to Poland increased by 49%, to Lithuania by 29%, to Finland by nearly 4 times, and to Romania by 17%.
In the first quarter of 2023, most shrimp and pangasius exporters experienced a sharp decline in export value due to market difficulties and the pressure of too high input costs; rising feed prices, fish prices lead to high raw material prices. In particular, businesses whose traditional and main market is the US are affected the most.
Seafood processing and exporting enterprises also face difficulties because of the lack of domestic raw materials and more difficulties in the EU market, so many businesses experience a decrease in sales. However, some enterprises still have higher revenue compared to the same period last year thanks to the promotion of processing of wild-caught marine products, especially marine fishes.
The picture of seafood exports may gradually brighten in the second quarter and is expected to recover better from the third quarter when the Chinese market has a clearer improvement and seafood enterprises have adjusted their product structure and the market to adapt to the context of 2023.
Compiled by Thuy Linh
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On March 10, 2026, the Ho Chi Minh City People’s Committee issued Decision No. 1377/QD-UBND approving the Aquatic Animal Disease Prevention and Control Plan for the 2026–2030 period. The decision takes effect from the date of signing and replaces previous plans for the 2021–2030 period that had been issued prior to the administrative merger in Ba Ria – Vung Tau, Binh Duong, and Ho Chi Minh City.
(vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Chile imported more than USD 156 million worth of tuna, up 8.1% compared to the previous year and the highest level in the past five years. As the supply structure in this market is rapidly shifting, Vietnamese tuna is facing both opportunities to expand market share and increasing competitive pressure from Thailand, Colombia, and China.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vinh Long Province is stepping up efforts to develop brackish water shrimp farming in a sustainable direction, identifying it as a key sector in its agricultural structure. In 2026, the province aims to reach around 71,300 hectares of shrimp farming, with an output of over 314,000 tons.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Ha Tinh Province is strengthening control over shrimp seed quality to minimize risks for the 2026 spring–summer farming season.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In February 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports reached USD 119 million, down slightly 5% year-on-year. However, thanks to strong performance in January, cumulative exports in the first two months of the year still reached USD 331 million, up 28% compared to the same period in 2025. Export activity slowed somewhat in February due to seasonal factors, particularly the Lunar New Year holiday, which disrupted production and shipments at many seafood processing enterprises.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Da Nang is accelerating the development of high-tech shrimp farming toward intensive production, disease control, and improved efficiency. Many shrimp farms have invested in automated environmental monitoring systems, continuously tracking indicators such as pH, dissolved oxygen, temperature, and salinity, enabling farmers to promptly adjust pond conditions and reduce disease risks.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 is considered a turning point for Vietnam’s shrimp seed industry as the sector faces the need for strong transformation in technology, production management, and gradual self-sufficiency in broodstock supply. These factors are seen as key to improving seed quality and strengthening the competitiveness of the shrimp industry amid increasingly demanding market requirements.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In February 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached nearly USD 310 million, up 17% year-on-year. Cumulatively for the first two months of the year, shrimp export value totaled USD 690 million, an increase of 20% compared with the same period last year. Compared with the 22% growth recorded in January, the pace of increase in February slowed somewhat, reflecting seasonal factors as the Lunar New Year holiday partially disrupted processing and shipment activities. Nevertheless, the nearly 20% growth in the first two months indicates that shrimp orders from Vietnam are maintaining a more positive trend than in the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the latest statistics for January 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius export value to major market blocs recorded encouraging growth compared with the same period last year, indicating that consumption demand is gradually recovering.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports in February 2026 reached approximately USD 707 million, up 8% compared to the same period last year. Cumulatively, exports in the first two months of 2026 totaled USD 1.7 billion, an increase of 20.2% year-on-year. The results show that the sector’s recovery momentum has remained relatively solid following strong growth in January, although the pace slowed noticeably in February for several key products and major markets. Within the overall picture, shrimp continues to be the largest pillar, pangasius rebounds strongly, while tuna exports and the U.S. and Korean markets are sending signals that warrant closer monitoring. In March, seafood exports are expected to gain additional momentum from markets other than the U.S., potentially supporting stronger growth.
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