Tilapia continues to expand in the U.S. market
The growth momentum has continued into early 2026. In February alone, tilapia exports to the U.S. reached USD 852,000, accounting for 10% of total export value for this product. Cumulatively, in the first two months of the year, exports reached around USD 4 million, up 31% year-on-year. Although there was a slight slowdown in February, this is mainly attributed to seasonality, as importers had significantly increased inventories in Q4 2025 to meet year-end demand.
In the U.S. market, frozen tilapia fillets remain the key product. In February, imports of this item exceeded USD 30 million, ranking second among whitefish products, indicating that demand remains high and stable.
Tariff policies affect U.S. importers’ sentiment
However, the positive outlook comes with notable challenges. New U.S. tariff policies are creating caution among importers. The imposition of a 10% tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974—with the possibility of increasing to 15% in the near future—along with ongoing trade investigations involving several major partners, including Vietnam, is making the export environment more unpredictable.
Competition from Chinese and Brazilian tilapia
Despite the volatility and complexity of the U.S. market, major exporters such as China and Brazil, while seeking to expand into alternative markets, are unlikely to offset the scale and value of the U.S. market in the short term—especially as new markets require time to develop demand for tilapia products.
In 2025, leading exporters like China and Brazil were significantly affected by U.S. tariff policies, reducing their competitiveness in this market. However, entering 2026, as tariffs are adjusted downward to around 10%, companies from these countries are expected to step up their return to the U.S. market. With advantages in production scale and cost efficiency, China and Brazil could quickly expand their market share, creating direct pressure on Vietnamese tilapia.
Geopolitical factors and production scale squeeze margins
In addition, geopolitical instability—particularly conflicts in the Middle East—has driven up fuel prices, leading to higher transportation costs and narrowing profit margins for exporters. Furthermore, Vietnam’s tilapia production scale remains relatively modest, with limitations in technology and seed supply compared to major competitors, reducing competitiveness in both pricing and supply capacity.
In this context, to fully capitalize on opportunities in the U.S. market, Vietnam’s tilapia industry needs to strengthen production capacity, optimize costs, and proactively adapt to fluctuations in global trade policies.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, the U.S. whitefish market has shown complex developments as global cod supply continues to tighten, while the U.S. trade environment becomes less stable. In this context, the U.S. market has had to become more flexible in sourcing alternative whitefish. However, relying heavily on Alaska pollock is not a long-term solution, as it is a strictly managed fishery with quotas and sustainability regulations, limiting any rapid increase in output to offset cod shortages.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Aquaculture, capture fisheries, and seed production activities in Lam Dong in the early months of 2026 continued to show positive signs, with both output and farming area slightly increasing compared to the same period, contributing to maintaining overall industry stability.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to Vietnam Customs data, tuna exports in the first month of 2026 reached over USD 75 million, up 13% compared to the same period in 2025. Notably, exports increased in most key markets such as Japan, the EU, and Russia, while exports to the United States fell by 6%—a contrasting development amid ongoing adjustments in U.S. import tariff policies and new compliance requirements under the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), which took effect at the beginning of the year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In March 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports recorded strong growth, reaching USD 15 million, up 109% compared to the same period in 2025. Cumulatively, in the first three months of 2026, export value reached USD 38 million, an increase of 174% year-on-year. This result highlights the sector’s robust expansion and reflects rapid growth across multiple markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In March 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius export value reached USD 182 million, up 1% compared to the same period in 2025. Cumulatively, exports in the first three months of 2026 totaled USD 514 million, an increase of 17% year-on-year, indicating that the growth momentum is being maintained despite signs of slowdown in some markets during March.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) During peak heat periods, farmers raising pangasius, tilapia, and other freshwater fish in Dong Thap are implementing various technical measures to reduce risks and maintain stable production.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Japan continues to be one of Vietnam’s most important and stable shrimp markets. In recent years, shrimp exports to this market have fluctuated in line with Japan’s broader economic and consumption cycles, yet Japan remains a major, high-value destination with stringent standards.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Spain increased by 13% compared to 2024. This growth trend has continued into the first two months of 2026. According to Vietnam Customs statistics, export turnover to this market reached nearly USD 3 million in January–February 2026, up 101% year-on-year and significantly higher than the same period in 2024. This development indicates that Spain is once again becoming a notable destination for Vietnamese tuna amid strong demand for tuna raw materials and products in Europe.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The 2026 brackish water shrimp farming season in the Mekong Delta has started earlier than usual, mainly driven by positive market signals, as shrimp prices in 2025 remained high and supply was limited. Many enterprises and farms in Cần Thơ, Cà Mau, and Vĩnh Long have proactively stocked early to seize opportunities. By early 2026, stocking areas in many localities had reached a high proportion of planned targets, with intensive and high-tech farming models expanding rapidly.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the United States recorded remarkable growth in 2025, opening up major opportunities while also presenting considerable challenges. The U.S. remains the largest importer of Vietnamese tilapia fillets, with export turnover reaching USD 40 million—an increase of up to 499% compared to 2024. This impressive growth reflects strong demand in the U.S. market, as supply from competing countries such as China has been constrained by tariffs and rising production costs.
VASEP - HIỆP HỘI CHẾ BIẾN VÀ XUẤT KHẨU THỦY SẢN VIỆT NAM
Chịu trách nhiệm: Ông Nguyễn Hoài Nam - Phó Tổng thư ký Hiệp hội
Đơn vị vận hành trang tin điện tử: Trung tâm VASEP.PRO
Trưởng Ban Biên tập: Bà Phùng Thị Kim Thu
Giấy phép hoạt động Trang thông tin điện tử tổng hợp số 138/GP-TTĐT, ngày 01/10/2013 của Bộ Thông tin và Truyền thông
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 – (ext.203); email: kimthu@vasep.com.vn
Trụ sở: Số 7 đường Nguyễn Quý Cảnh, Phường An Phú, Quận 2, Tp.Hồ Chí Minh
Tel: (+84) 28.628.10430 - Fax: (+84) 28.628.10437 - Email: vasephcm@vasep.com.vn
VPĐD: số 10, Nguyễn Công Hoan, Ngọc Khánh, Ba Đình, Hà Nội
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 - Fax: (+84 24) 37715084 - Email: vasephn@vasep.com.vn
