Tilapia continues to expand in the U.S. market
The growth momentum has continued into early 2026. In February alone, tilapia exports to the U.S. reached USD 852,000, accounting for 10% of total export value for this product. Cumulatively, in the first two months of the year, exports reached around USD 4 million, up 31% year-on-year. Although there was a slight slowdown in February, this is mainly attributed to seasonality, as importers had significantly increased inventories in Q4 2025 to meet year-end demand.
In the U.S. market, frozen tilapia fillets remain the key product. In February, imports of this item exceeded USD 30 million, ranking second among whitefish products, indicating that demand remains high and stable.
Tariff policies affect U.S. importers’ sentiment
However, the positive outlook comes with notable challenges. New U.S. tariff policies are creating caution among importers. The imposition of a 10% tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974—with the possibility of increasing to 15% in the near future—along with ongoing trade investigations involving several major partners, including Vietnam, is making the export environment more unpredictable.
Competition from Chinese and Brazilian tilapia
Despite the volatility and complexity of the U.S. market, major exporters such as China and Brazil, while seeking to expand into alternative markets, are unlikely to offset the scale and value of the U.S. market in the short term—especially as new markets require time to develop demand for tilapia products.
In 2025, leading exporters like China and Brazil were significantly affected by U.S. tariff policies, reducing their competitiveness in this market. However, entering 2026, as tariffs are adjusted downward to around 10%, companies from these countries are expected to step up their return to the U.S. market. With advantages in production scale and cost efficiency, China and Brazil could quickly expand their market share, creating direct pressure on Vietnamese tilapia.
Geopolitical factors and production scale squeeze margins
In addition, geopolitical instability—particularly conflicts in the Middle East—has driven up fuel prices, leading to higher transportation costs and narrowing profit margins for exporters. Furthermore, Vietnam’s tilapia production scale remains relatively modest, with limitations in technology and seed supply compared to major competitors, reducing competitiveness in both pricing and supply capacity.
In this context, to fully capitalize on opportunities in the U.S. market, Vietnam’s tilapia industry needs to strengthen production capacity, optimize costs, and proactively adapt to fluctuations in global trade policies.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Although Germany’s tuna imports have declined, Vietnam’s tuna exports to the market continue to show positive signs. Notably, export value recovered strongly in Q3/2026, and German import data also show Vietnamese products strengthening their position amid competition among suppliers.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Seafood exports are holding double-digit growth, but the opportunities are not spread evenly across product groups and markets. As businesses draw up their plans for 2027, Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS2026) offers a chance to look ahead together: what to sell, where to sell it, and how to prepare for growth in the coming years.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With less than two weeks to go, the Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026) will officially take place in Can Tho. Under the theme “Seafood Market Outlook 2027–2029 – Opportunities and Potential for Double-Digit Export Growth,” the Summit is organized by VASEP at a time when seafood businesses are facing rapid market shifts, changing buyer demand, trade policy changes and growing competitive pressure all at once.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On October 28, 2026, the China Fisheries & Seafood Expo opened in Qingdao, China. The expo takes place over three days from October 28 to 30, 2026. This is a prestigious specialized seafood exhibition organized annually by Sea Fare Exposition Inc.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the CPTPP bloc reached $7 million, marking a 51% year-on-year increase. The bloc rstands as the fourth-largest market for Vietnamese tilapia, trailing Brazil, the US, and Saudi Arabia.
(vasep.com.vn) VASEP has officially announced the program for Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026), featuring five in-depth sessions covering industry outlooks, trade barriers, buyer demand, the domestic market, and solutions to improve productivity and reduce costs across the seafood value chain.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached US$3.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up 11% year on year. Although growth has been supported by China and several markets within the CPTPP, momentum is slowing as exports to the United States and the European Union decline. Tariff pressures, international competition, and raw material challenges are creating significant hurdles for exporters in the final months of the year.
(vasep.com.vn) Markets are changing faster, buyer requirements are becoming more demanding, and trade barriers are growing increasingly complex. In this environment, seafood businesses need more than an understanding of current market conditions. They need a longer-term perspective to answer a critical question: Where will growth opportunities come from in 2027–2029, and what should businesses do now to prepare? This is one of the key reasons why VASEP is organizing Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first eight months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the Middle East reached US$113 million, up 7% year on year from the same period in 2025. Growth has become more pronounced in recent months. In August alone, exports to the region totaled US$20 million, an increase of 24%. This indicates that demand for Vietnamese pangasius in the Middle East is gradually recovering after a slowdown in March, although the pace of recovery varies across markets.
(vasep.com.vn) China’s shrimp imports continued to grow strongly in 2026, while Vietnam’s shrimp exports to the market also recorded notable growth. However, behind these positive figures lie two distinct trends: Chinese consumption is growing more slowly than imports, and lobster accounts for a substantial share of Vietnam’s shrimp exports to China, making its product mix significantly different from those of Ecuador and India. Exporters therefore need to assess each segment carefully to understand the opportunities and risks.
VASEP - HIỆP HỘI CHẾ BIẾN VÀ XUẤT KHẨU THỦY SẢN VIỆT NAM
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