According to experts, in 2021, the recovery in consumption demand in export markets will support the growth momentum of seafood products. With the expectation that countries will have better control of the epidemic, seafood consumption will strongly recover with the return of restaurants and schools that take a large proportion in distribution channels. At the same time, seafood traders will increase imports again thanks to their need for inventory in the second half of 2020 and in 2021. It is forecasted that Vietnam will continue to increase shrimp production in 2021, reaching about 730,000 tons, up by 4%. The stable supply of shrimp will be an advantage for Vietnamese shrimp exporters to continue increasing their share in markets.
Experts also predict that, in 2021, the export price of shrimp will not increase sharply, since the demand still depends heavily on the recovery of main consuming channels. Competitive pressure will increase when global shrimp production is forecasted to rise again, so it’s nesessary to diversify export markets to reduce the risks of the major shrimp exportes around the world. "Assuming that the epidemic situation in the world is persistent with the level gradually decreasing thanks to the wider distribution of the vaccine in 2021, the food service channels such as restaurants, hotels, resorts,… will gradually recover. Export shrimp prices of Vietnam in 2021 will increase slightly by 5%, averaging at 9.6 USD/kg.
In addition, shrimp exports to the EU market, which is accounting for 21% of the total value of Vietnamese shrimp exports, are expected to be actively supported by the Free Trade Agreement between Vietnam and the European Union (EVFTA), which has been put into effect since 1 August 2020. Then, import tax on frozen raw shrimp will immediately decrease to 0% when the Agreement comes into effect, while the tax for processed shrimp will be gradually reduced to 0% after 7 years of the Agreement's entry into force, specifically since January 1, 2027. The tax rate of 0% for raw shrimp will significantly boost the competitive advantage of this product in the EU market. Meanwhile, in 2021, the tax rate for processed shrimp will still be 7% - equal to the preferential tax rate GSP is currently getting. Therefore, Vietnam's processed shrimp products have not yet gained advantages from EVFTA. Besides the positive prospects, Vietnamese shrimp exporters will face risks if anti-dumping tax rates to the US market increases during the 14th administrative review period (POR14). However, analysts still expect Vietnamese shrimp products to continue receiving the 0% anti-dumping tax rate on the US market as demonstrated in the last review - POR 13. For pangasius, the production in Vietnam is also forecasted to continue to increase, while the output and export prices depend heavily on the purchasing power of consumers in the main consumption channels. Experts expect pangasius exports to recover, thanks to the gradually larger demand after a period of close down of estaurants, hotels and resorts since the COVID-19 epidemic in main export markets such as China, the US, EU, ... are getting into control. The advantages of lower selling price compared to substitute products and the efforts of Vietnamese pangasius businesses to increasingly focus on value-added processed products, fully meeting the conditions for food safety and hygiene, traceability will contribute to boosting the export value of Vietnamese pangasius by 2021. The price of raw fish is not affordable enough for people to expand the farming area, making the supply of pangasius difficult to expand in 3 – 6 coming months. With the expectation that demand will gradually improve with supply not expanding in time (farmers usually take 3 - 6 months from stocking to harvest fish), pangasius export price is expected to be more positive in 2021 with a 10% increase.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The purchase price of raw pangasius in the first 11 months of 2024 remained at 26,000-27,000 VND/kg. However, farmers faced challenges in earning profits due to rising costs of fish feed, fuel, and labor during the year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Sao Ta Foods Joint Stock Company (FIMEX) recently announced its production and business results for November 2024, showing a 5% year-over-year increase in revenue but a 21% decline compared to the previous month.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Soc Trang province underscores the critical role of the fisheries sector in driving its socio-economic development. Located along Vietnam's coastline, the province features 72 km of shoreline, three major estuaries—Dinh An, Tran De, and My Thanh—and a dense river network encompassing diverse ecosystems, including saltwater, brackish, and freshwater. These natural resources provide ideal conditions for the growth of aquaculture, making the fisheries sector a cornerstone of Soc Trang’s economic strategy.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2024, the pangasius industry in Dong Thap is projected to achieve a production value of VND 8.802 billion, marking a 2.86% increase compared to 2023 and accounting for over 17% of the province's total agricultural, forestry, and fishery production value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam's tuna exports to Japan have seen robust growth over the past two months. Data from Vietnam Customs shows that in October 2024 alone, tuna exports to Japan surged by 31% year-on-year, reaching nearly USD 3.5 million. This growth has offset the decline experienced in the first half of the year, raising the total export value for the first ten months of 2024 to nearly USD 28 million, a 5% increase compared to the same period last year.
A business forum was held by the Dutch Embassy in Vietnam in collaboration with the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) in the Mekong Delta city of Can Tho on November 27, seeking ways for sustainable aquaculture in the region.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On November 18, Ms. Truong Ha Phuong Anh, Director of the Center for Investment Promotion and Business Support (iPEC), stated that during the Ca Mau Province Agricultural and Aquatic Products Trade Promotion Conference 2024, held on November 15, there were 209 direct trade interactions between 42 seafood processing and exporting enterprises, OCOP producers in the province, and five leading domestic retail companies: Central Retail, Saigon Co.op, Kingfood Mart, Bach Hoa Xanh, and Satra Supermarket.
In 2024, the Binh Dinh Agricultural Extension Center successfully implemented a semi-intensive and intensive two-stage whiteleg shrimp farming model using Semi-Biofloc technology.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Recently, the area dedicated to super-intensive, high-density whiteleg shrimp farming in Trà Vinh Province has been rapidly expanding due to its high productivity and economic efficiency.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In collaboration with provincial authorities, specialized agencies, and local coastal governments, seafood processing and export enterprises in Binh Dinh Province are actively working to address issues related to illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing. The shared goal is to have the European Union's "yellow card" removed this year.
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