In Q.III/2012, pangasius production is estimated to ensure only 70 percent of raw material for processing because farmers left their fish ponds or lately stocked fish in the first two quarters of the year.
In late Q.II/2012 and early Q.III/2012, price of raw fish slumped by VND2,000 – 3,000 per kilogram, but fish companies lacked money to purchase fish. It will go up since August and reach to VND24,000 – 25,000 per kilogram in late Q.III/2012 along with some positive changes in supply – demand in both importing markets and domestic market.
Pangasius crisis from January – June 2012 makes many sources in the industry worry about a future scarcity of fish supply in the last months of 2012 and in early 2013. Short supply of commercial fish is because of drop in fish fingerlings production and farming superficies. Moreover, many fish processors and farmers lack money to pay back bank credits, so they can not invest comprehensively and urgently in fish farming.
Rebound of pangasius export in late Q.III/2012
Pangasius has now built up their image and trademark in many different fish-consuming countries. Over the past years, fast-growing trade and rising consumption demand in the world market made Vietnam fish suffer unfair competition and smear in some markets. In contrast, pangasius is still a popular fish with good quality and reasonable price, which is welcome by consumers particularly in economic crisis time.
Vietnam pangasius imports into the EU keep falling by 16 – 20 percent in July – August 2012 and got recovery in September. The EU still remains the most important market and contributes 25 – 27 percent to Vitenam total pangasius export value. Other potential markets (Russia, Brazil, Colombia with proportion of 8.5 – 9 percent) is limiting imports since Q.II/2012. The decline will fall by 40 – 50 percent in Q.III/2012.
Furthermore, price of exported pangasius is not able to rise in Q.III/2012, but stay at the level of Q.II/2012 because almost other white fish or tilapia with huge supply in the global market report declining price. So Vietnam pangasius can not stay out the trend.
However, in late Q.II/2012 and in Q.III/2012, pangasius will saw strong growth in most importing countries, including the U.S. large market (+27 – 30 percent), ASEAN (+30 – 40 percent), China (40 – 60 percent)…As usual in the third quarter, foreign fish importers accelerate buying fish to satisfy consumption demand in the year’s end holidays; therefore, earning from export is predicted to reach its peak in this period.
With shortage of raw material, lack of capital for fish processing for export, and uncertain global market, price of pangasius will keep soaring from Q.II/2012 and from the same period of 2011. Export revenue reachs US$480 million, up 12 percent from US$428.3 million in Q.II/2012, representing 26.3 percent of total seafood export estimated in Q.III/2012.
(According to Report on Vietnam seafood export in Q.II/2012 – VASEP)
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Although Germany’s tuna imports have declined, Vietnam’s tuna exports to the market continue to show positive signs. Notably, export value recovered strongly in Q3/2026, and German import data also show Vietnamese products strengthening their position amid competition among suppliers.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Seafood exports are holding double-digit growth, but the opportunities are not spread evenly across product groups and markets. As businesses draw up their plans for 2027, Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS2026) offers a chance to look ahead together: what to sell, where to sell it, and how to prepare for growth in the coming years.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With less than two weeks to go, the Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026) will officially take place in Can Tho. Under the theme “Seafood Market Outlook 2027–2029 – Opportunities and Potential for Double-Digit Export Growth,” the Summit is organized by VASEP at a time when seafood businesses are facing rapid market shifts, changing buyer demand, trade policy changes and growing competitive pressure all at once.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On October 28, 2026, the China Fisheries & Seafood Expo opened in Qingdao, China. The expo takes place over three days from October 28 to 30, 2026. This is a prestigious specialized seafood exhibition organized annually by Sea Fare Exposition Inc.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the CPTPP bloc reached $7 million, marking a 51% year-on-year increase. The bloc rstands as the fourth-largest market for Vietnamese tilapia, trailing Brazil, the US, and Saudi Arabia.
(vasep.com.vn) VASEP has officially announced the program for Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026), featuring five in-depth sessions covering industry outlooks, trade barriers, buyer demand, the domestic market, and solutions to improve productivity and reduce costs across the seafood value chain.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached US$3.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up 11% year on year. Although growth has been supported by China and several markets within the CPTPP, momentum is slowing as exports to the United States and the European Union decline. Tariff pressures, international competition, and raw material challenges are creating significant hurdles for exporters in the final months of the year.
(vasep.com.vn) Markets are changing faster, buyer requirements are becoming more demanding, and trade barriers are growing increasingly complex. In this environment, seafood businesses need more than an understanding of current market conditions. They need a longer-term perspective to answer a critical question: Where will growth opportunities come from in 2027–2029, and what should businesses do now to prepare? This is one of the key reasons why VASEP is organizing Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first eight months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the Middle East reached US$113 million, up 7% year on year from the same period in 2025. Growth has become more pronounced in recent months. In August alone, exports to the region totaled US$20 million, an increase of 24%. This indicates that demand for Vietnamese pangasius in the Middle East is gradually recovering after a slowdown in March, although the pace of recovery varies across markets.
(vasep.com.vn) China’s shrimp imports continued to grow strongly in 2026, while Vietnam’s shrimp exports to the market also recorded notable growth. However, behind these positive figures lie two distinct trends: Chinese consumption is growing more slowly than imports, and lobster accounts for a substantial share of Vietnam’s shrimp exports to China, making its product mix significantly different from those of Ecuador and India. Exporters therefore need to assess each segment carefully to understand the opportunities and risks.
VASEP - HIỆP HỘI CHẾ BIẾN VÀ XUẤT KHẨU THỦY SẢN VIỆT NAM
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