Positive outlook for pangasius, tuna, and crab in the last months of the year

News 08:50 20/11/2023
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Seafood exports in October 2023 are estimated to reach over 863 million USD, down slightly by 5% compared to the same period in 2022. By the end of October, seafood exports earned nearly 7.5 million USD, down 20% over the same period last year.

By the end of October 2023, shrimp accounted for 38% of seafood export turnover with a value of over 2.8 billion USD, down 24% over the same period last year. In October alone, shrimp exports reached 320 million USD, down 11% compared to October 2022.

Shrimp exports in the last months of 2023 and in 2024 depend largely on fluctuations in the US market. Shrimp import volume began to recover, however, shrimp import prices in the US were still much lower than the same period last year. Falling import prices not only affect Vietnam's exports, but the Indian shrimp industry also struggles.

The seafood industry has had a worldwide shrimp surplus for more than a year. In the US, EU and China, average import prices in 2023 fell by 13.4%, 10% and 2.7% respectively. It is forecasted that the consumption and import situation in the US will be better in November and December.

Pangasius exports in October reached 189 million USD, a slight increase of 5% over the same period in 2022. Accordingly, by the end of October, pangasius exports reached over 1.5 billion USD, down 28% over the same period last year. It seems that pangasius exports are showing more positive signs, after positive information about the US market. After the FSIS inspection program, Vietnamese pangasius was rated good for food safety. In addition, preliminary results for the 19th review (POR19) for Vietnamese frozen pangasius filets exported to the US from August 1, 2021 to July 31, 2022 had much lower tax rates than the previous period. Although not the final result, this is good news for Vietnamese pangasius exporters to the US market.

The US market's demand for pangasius is also recovering. Currently, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) is looking to purchase 5.96 million pounds of frozen pangasius and catfish filets for use in domestic food distribution programs. This is the ministry's third largest catfish purchase in 2023, following the purchase of 6.2 million pounds of unbreaded catfish filets for a total of USD 41.8 million (EUR 38 million) in March.

China’s demand for pangasius has decreased significantly since the beginning of 2023, but sales of breaded pangasius filets are showing signs of improvement in this market...In the first 8 months of this year, China imported 11,900 tons of pangasius from Vietnam, down 41% over the same period last year. However, sales of fried Pangasius filets are still increasing, as this product appears more and more on restaurant menus in Northern China at prices of 5.47 - 6.83 USD/serving. This product also received positive feedback from Chinese consumers.

Tuna and crab exports in October tended to be more positive with double-digit growth, up 13% and 40% respectively over the same period, reaching 87 million USD and 28 million USD. By the end of October, tuna brought in 704 million USD, down 20%, and crab earned 164 million USD, down 12% than the same period last year.

Squid, octopus and shellfish products still maintained negative growth of 10-13% in October. Accumulated in the first 10 months of the year, squid and octopus exports recorded sales of over 540 million USD, down 14%, shellfish of over 109 million USD, down 10%. Exports of other marine fish except tuna reached about 1.6 billion USD, down 8%, in October alone reached 166 million USD, down 11%.

Consumption of tuna, squid, octopus and some high-class seafood continues to be affected by economic downturns, high inflation, and cautious consumer spending. In order for most consumers to still have access to popular and high-class seafood products, seafood processors and traders are tending to package products in smaller sizes, at prices suitable for all income classes. This trend is expected to stimulate better demand for seafood in the near future.  

TIN MỚI CẬP NHẬT

Vietnam’s tuna exports return to growth but headwinds remain

 |  10:12 25/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports sustained their upward trajectory in August 2026, though the pace remained modest at just 2%. The month saw divergent trends across key markets: the US maintained its leading position, Japan and Canada improved, Russia surged and the EU continued to experience a steep downturn. These developments suggest that exporters are entering the final months of the year amid a market environment marked by greater uncertainty.

Vietnam’s shrimp exports maintain growth in first 8 months of 2026 as competition shifts toward efficiency and value

 |  16:47 23/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached $3.3 billion in the first eight months of 2026, up 12% year on year. However, growth momentum is moderating and market divergece is becoming more pronounced, while the US and EU continue to present significant challenges. The latest insights from the Global shrimp forum 2026 (GSF 2026), held in early September, also indicate that the final months of the year will remain highly competitive as global supply continues to expand and buyers place greater emphasis on quality, product specifications, supply consistency and the ability to meet market-specific demand.

Vietnam’s pangasius exports maintain growth in first eight months, led by China and Brazil

 |  10:28 22/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius exports continued to grow in August 2026, bringing total export value in the first eight months of the year to US$1.5 billion, up 10% year-on-year. August exports alone reached US$205 million, up 6%. However, market performance has become increasingly divergent, with China and Brazil posting positive growth while the U.S. continued to record a sharp decline.

Vietnam’s seafood exports face significant pressure from the U.S. market in Q4

 |  08:49 20/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports reached US$1.14 billion in August 2026, up 6.4% year on year, bringing the total for the first eight months to more than US$8.0 billion, an increase of 11.9%. Monthly export value remained above US$1 billion, but August growth was only around half the rate recorded cumulatively through the first eight months. This indicates that the eight-month result was supported significantly by stronger performance in earlier months, while market conditions are entering a less predictable period.

Kyokuyo Steps Up Pangasius Promotion, Creating New Opportunities for Vietnamese Seafood in Japan

 |  09:18 18/09/2026

(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Pangasius is attracting growing interest from Japanese seafood companies as prices of many traditional whitefish species remain high and supply becomes increasingly volatile. Notably, seafood group Kyokuyo has recently continued to feature pangasius among its priority products, highlighting its competitive pricing and stable supply.

Brackish-water tilapia: Vietnam’s emerging aquaculture frontier

 |  15:27 16/09/2026

(seafood.vasep.com.vn) As Vietnam’s tilapia industry searches for new growth opportunities, venturing into brackish-water aquaculture could unlock a formidable competitive moat. Bypassing the volume-and-price bloodbath against established global heavyweights, Vietnam could differentiate itself through high-quality tilapia products tailored to specific farming conditions and value-added market segments.

Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the U.S: tariffs, rotectionism and faltering demand choke 2026 exports

 |  15:26 15/09/2026

(seafood.vasep.com.vn) 2026 is rapidly shaping up to be a formidable stress test for Vietnamese pangasius exports to the United States. While exports to alternative markets maintain a resilient growth trajectory, the U.S market has declined significantly. In the first eight months of the year, pangasius exports to the U.S fell by nearly 14% year-on-year, with August alone recording a decline of more than 50%. The trend shows that difficulties in the U.S. market are not driven solely by weak consumer demand, but also by multiple layers of trade barriers that are intensifying simultaneously, particularly additional import tariffs, anti-dumping duties and growing protectionism for the domestic catfish industry.

Vietnam pangasius expands opportunities in Japan: Growth accompanied by the need for consistent quality

 |  08:45 11/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius exports to Japan are showing positive signals in 2026, indicating that the market is opening up greater opportunities for pangasius products, particularly processed and value-added products. In the first seven months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to Japan reached US$31 million, up 20% year-on-year. In July alone, export value reached approximately US$5 million, up 30%.

Decree No. 292/2026/ND-CP: Elaborating certain articles and providing measures for the organization and guidance of implementation of the law on foreign trade management

 |  17:01 07/09/2026

On July 22, 2026, the Government issued Decree No. 292/2026/ND-CP detailing certain articles and providing measures for the organization and implementation of the Law on Foreign Trade Management. The Decree takes effect on September 5, 2026, replacing Decree No. 69/2018/ND-CP.

Vinh Hoan’s Cured Panga Croquette Wins Top Prize at Seafood Excellence Asia 2026

 |  16:11 04/09/2026

(vasep.com.vn) Vietnamese pangasius producer Vinh Hoan has won the top prize at the 2026 Seafood Excellence Asia Awards for its Cured Panga Croquette, highlighting the growing potential of value-added pangasius products in international markets.

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