Regarding the development momentum in business activities, VCBS estimates that Nam Viet's total revenue in 2023 will reach 4,612 billion VND (-5.82% yoy), profit after tax will reach 619 billion VND because pangasius exports are entering the reduction. However, the demand for pangasius will increase again from the third quarter of 2023 thanks to China's reopening, which will boost export orders of fish industry enterprises.
Pangasius will be "hot" again in the third quarter of 2023
Previously, VCBS also identified ANV as one of two potential seafood stocks in 2023. According to the results of the 17th anti-dumping tax (POR17) of the US DOC, ANV enjoys a tax rate of 0%. This made the business decide to return to the US market. By the end of September 2022, ANV has exported 11 containers to the US market, doubling the initial target of 5 containers. ANV is also planning that in the next 2-3 years, export volume to the US market will grow by 5-7%.
ANV is gradually recovering its export volume to China, the company has exported 80 more containers to this market. In addition to exporting to Shanghai as usual, ANV has found some new partners in Beijing and Guangzhou. According to the plan, export volume in the Chinese market will grow by 35-45% in the coming time.
Besides, the selling price of ANV’s products in the Chinese market is also higher than other enterprises. For the European and Southeast Asian markets, orders is still stable. Import orders from ThaiLand increased sharply, businesses are putting their orders into supermarkets, so they always sell at good prices. ANV is expected to increase export volume to these markets by 10-15% in the coming time.
ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up
ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up. In particular, the Russian and Brazilian markets grew 2 and 3 times over the same period last year.
VCBS forecasts that ANV's pangasius revenue for 2023 will grow by 9% over the same period, bringing in a profit of VND 693 billion for the business.
In addition, ANV is expanding production into C&G segment (Collagen and Gelatin) after taking part in a joint venture with Amicogen to build a factory with a capacity of 800 tons/year, with a total investment of 6 million USD. As expected, the Amicogen factory, at full capacity, will bring in revenue and profit of $36 million and $1.5 million per year, respectively.
Forecast on Vietnam pangasius industry in 2023 - 2025
Compiled by Thuy Linh
(seafood.vasep .com.vn) The return of Donald Trump to the White House for a second term will bring significant impacts on Vietnam, particularly its pangasius export sector. Trump's economic policies, such as raising import tariffs, reducing corporate income taxes, and attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) back to the US, are expected to directly influence various industries in Vietnam.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The UAE ranked 16th among importers of Vietnamese shrimp from 2018 to 2022, accounting for approximately 0.5% of Vietnam's total shrimp export value. Annually, Vietnam exported around US$20 million worth of shrimp to this market.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The company also announced that its farms are well-prepared and will begin stocking in mid-November when the weather conditions are favorable.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) To maximize natural advantages and increase the value of local aquatic products, Ca Mau province is promoting the ecological shrimp farming model under mangrove forests. This model not only brings high profits to people thanks to businesses committing to purchasing products at prices 10-20% higher than the market price but also aims for sustainable development and environmental friendliness.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) between Vietnam and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) was signed after just over a year of negotiations. With high demand for premium seafood in the UAE, particularly for shrimp and tuna products, Vietnam’s tuna industry is expected to gain increased export opportunities and higher product value thanks to the preferential terms of the CEPA.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In October 2024, seafood exports from Vietnam are estimated to exceed $1 billion, marking a 28% increase compared to the same period last year. This achievement signifies the first return to the $1 billion milestone in 27 months, since June 2022, providing a significant boost for Vietnamese seafood enterprises.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Under the theme "Dong Thap Pangasius: Green Journey - Green Value," the Dong Thap Pangasius Festival 2024 will take place over two days, November 16th and 17th, at Vo Nguyen Giap Square in Hong Ngu City.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The Department of Agriculture and Rural Development of Kien Giang has announced a plan to stabilize the biosafety rice-shrimp production area at 117,340 hectares by 2030.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the Department of Fisheries in Ca Mau, the total aquatic product output in the region is estimated at 536,140 tons as of October 17, achieving 82.23% of the annual plan and marking a 1.74% increase compared to the same period last year. Within this total, shrimp production stands at 208,495 tons, reaching 82.41% of the planned target and showing a 2.23% increase year-over-year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to data from Vietnam Customs, pangasius exports to Iraq have surged significantly in the first nine months of 2024, marking the highest levels seen in three years. This upward trend has positioned Iraq as a key market for Vietnamese pangasius, even surpassing Iran, traditionally regarded as a gateway for trade between Vietnam and the Middle East.
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