Pangasius will be "hot" again in the third quarter of 2023 - ANV enters a price increase cycle

Regarding the development momentum in business activities, VCBS estimates that Nam Viet's total revenue in 2023 will reach 4,612 billion VND (-5.82% yoy), profit after tax will reach 619 billion VND because pangasius exports are entering the reduction. However, the demand for pangasius will increase again from the third quarter of 2023 thanks to China's reopening, which will boost export orders of fish industry enterprises.

Pangasius will be "hot" again in the third quarter of 2023 

Previously, VCBS also identified ANV as one of two potential seafood stocks in 2023. According to the results of the 17th anti-dumping tax (POR17) of the US DOC,  ANV enjoys a tax rate of 0%. This made the business decide to return to the US market. By the end of September 2022, ANV has exported 11 containers to the US market, doubling the initial target of 5 containers.  ANV is also planning that in the next 2-3 years, export volume to the US market will grow by 5-7%.

ANV is gradually recovering its export volume to China, the company has exported 80 more containers to this market. In addition to exporting to Shanghai as usual, ANV has found some new partners in Beijing and Guangzhou. According to the plan, export volume in the Chinese market will grow by 35-45% in the coming time.

Besides, the selling price of ANV’s products in the Chinese market is also higher than other enterprises. For the European and Southeast Asian markets, orders is still stable. Import orders from ThaiLand increased sharply, businesses are putting their orders into supermarkets, so they always sell at good prices. ANV is expected to increase export volume to these markets by 10-15% in the coming time.

ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up

ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up. In particular, the Russian and Brazilian markets grew 2 and 3 times over the same period last year.

VCBS forecasts that ANV's pangasius revenue for 2023 will grow by 9% over the same period, bringing in a profit of VND 693 billion for the business.

In addition, ANV is expanding production into C&G segment (Collagen and Gelatin) after taking part in a joint venture with Amicogen to build a factory with a capacity of 800 tons/year, with a total investment of 6 million USD. As expected, the Amicogen factory, at full capacity,  will bring in revenue and profit of $36 million and $1.5 million per year, respectively.

Forecast on Vietnam pangasius industry in 2023 - 2025

Compiled by Thuy Linh