Regarding the development momentum in business activities, VCBS estimates that Nam Viet's total revenue in 2023 will reach 4,612 billion VND (-5.82% yoy), profit after tax will reach 619 billion VND because pangasius exports are entering the reduction. However, the demand for pangasius will increase again from the third quarter of 2023 thanks to China's reopening, which will boost export orders of fish industry enterprises.
Pangasius will be "hot" again in the third quarter of 2023
Previously, VCBS also identified ANV as one of two potential seafood stocks in 2023. According to the results of the 17th anti-dumping tax (POR17) of the US DOC, ANV enjoys a tax rate of 0%. This made the business decide to return to the US market. By the end of September 2022, ANV has exported 11 containers to the US market, doubling the initial target of 5 containers. ANV is also planning that in the next 2-3 years, export volume to the US market will grow by 5-7%.
ANV is gradually recovering its export volume to China, the company has exported 80 more containers to this market. In addition to exporting to Shanghai as usual, ANV has found some new partners in Beijing and Guangzhou. According to the plan, export volume in the Chinese market will grow by 35-45% in the coming time.
Besides, the selling price of ANV’s products in the Chinese market is also higher than other enterprises. For the European and Southeast Asian markets, orders is still stable. Import orders from ThaiLand increased sharply, businesses are putting their orders into supermarkets, so they always sell at good prices. ANV is expected to increase export volume to these markets by 10-15% in the coming time.
ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up
ANV's export revenue in markets in the first 8 months of 2022 all grew strongly from 34% to up. In particular, the Russian and Brazilian markets grew 2 and 3 times over the same period last year.
VCBS forecasts that ANV's pangasius revenue for 2023 will grow by 9% over the same period, bringing in a profit of VND 693 billion for the business.
In addition, ANV is expanding production into C&G segment (Collagen and Gelatin) after taking part in a joint venture with Amicogen to build a factory with a capacity of 800 tons/year, with a total investment of 6 million USD. As expected, the Amicogen factory, at full capacity, will bring in revenue and profit of $36 million and $1.5 million per year, respectively.
Forecast on Vietnam pangasius industry in 2023 - 2025
Compiled by Thuy Linh
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Can Tho City statistics indicate that in 2025, following the merger of three former administrative entities - Can Tho, Hau Giang and Soc Trang - fisheries output in 2025 increased by 6.23% compared with 2024 with aquaculture production nearly 9.1 times higher than capture fisheries.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the Ca Mau Department of Agriculture and Rural Development, Ca Mau province has achieved significant, comprehensive and substantive progress in combating IUU fishing in 2025, successfully fulfilling all tasks directed by the central government and strengthening fisheries governance. These efforts have established a solid foundation for the nationwide effort to lift the EC’s "yellow card" warning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Ca Mau has exceeded its 2025 production targets, reaching nearly 595,000 tons of shrimp. This milestone reinforces the province’s position as Vietnam’s leading shrimp producer and a bright spot in the country’s seafood sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to Vietnam Customs data, cumulative shrimp exports from the beginning of the year through November reached $4.3 billion, up 21% year-on-year, continuing to serve as the primary growth driver of the entire seafood sector. In November alone, export turnover amounted to $393 million, up 14%.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, the fisheries sector continued to stand out as a bright spot in Ca Mau’s economic landscape, maintaining positive growth in both output and value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) By the end of November 2025, Vietnam’s total pangasius export turnover had exceeded the $2 billion threshold, registering a 9% compared with the same period in 2024. In November alone, pangasius exports reached $195 million, also posting a 9% increase year-on-year, underscoring a stable recovery trajectory for the sector in the final months of the year.
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(seafood.vasep.com.vn) An Giang is focusing on expanding climate-adaptive marine aquaculture models, aiming for safe and sustainable production. This approach not only enhances economic efficiency but also helps fishermen stabilize their livelihoods amid weather fluctuations.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first 10 months of 2025, Vietnam’s pangasius export value to China (including Mainland China and Hong Kong) reached $483 million, up 1% compared to the same period in 2024. October alone posted $73 million, a strong 19% increase year-on-year. The Chinese market currently accounts for nearly 27% of Vietnam’s total pangasius export value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to data from Vietnam Customs, the country’s lobster exports posted another strong month in October 2025, reaching $93 million - a 75% increase from the same month in 2024. This performance extends the sector’s impressive growth streak from earlier in the year, pushing cumulative exports for the first 10 months to $712 million, up an extraordinary 135% year-over-year. Within the product mix, green lobster remained the dominant driver, accounting for 98% of total export value, with $700 million recorded in the first 10 months - a 141% jump year-on-year. In contrast, exports of spiny lobster and other lobster varieties declined slightly by 22% and 1%, respectively, indicating that market demand is becoming increasingly concentrated on the most sought-after product line.
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