Trade – a fair business …?
Pangasius is being «pushed away» from EU and US
It is competing with other whitefish cod, sole, haddock and pollock – with a lower price
Markets access for pangasius is claimed to be thwarted both by industry and media
Called «the whitefish wars» – due to among others claimed neg. environmental impact
Pangasius has been «framed» by negative claims – i.e. an alternative reality has been communicated and perceived
Rebuttals both by Aquaculture Stewardship Council (ASC) – and down the road by WWF (after first having added to the neg. publicity), have had little effect – so far.
WTO has formed a dispute panel to try to settle the differences between Vietnam and US
In the meantime, the Vietnamese sector has been working hard and pangasius is finding new markets in China, elsewhere in Asia and in Latin America.
Will Vietnam be «Third time lucky?» asked Gorjan Nikolik, Rabobank, at North Atlantic Seafood forum in Bergen earlier this year (Tom Seaman, Undercurrent News).
Supplies of whitefish from aquaculture
2017 – A moderate increase from 2016; Farmed whitefish
- A slow growth of Tilapia - China not contributing to growth….
- Increase for Pangasius & catfish-species – Vietnam not contributing
EU Imports of Pangasius
Frozen filles from Vietnam
Continiues decline since 2010 in EU
Markets for Pangasius in EU
Pangasius – US Imports (Vietnam)
Frozen fillet presentations
Dramatic shift in direction of trade flow
Vietnamese Pangasius (Mill USD)
Estimated supplies of whitefish in 2018
Estimated change in supplies of whitefish from aquaculture – 2017 to 2018 (by species)
Outlooks 2018 for selected Whitefish species
Marginal total volume growth – BUT shift towards more Aquaclture
- Farmed whitefish driving - «only a marginal» growth …
- Decrease in cod supply & pollock supply, - following cut in quotas
Outlook
2018; +5% increase in supplies of whitefish from aquaculture - -3 % from fisheries
Local markets AND China absorbs and steadily larger share of whitefish from aquaculture
Still significant drop in supplies of pangasius to EU and US - large volumes are routed to China and Hong Kong
Trends:
The growth in production in Asia will slow down
South-/Latin-America and Africa will be the growth regions
The Asia markets will continue to be strong – the flow of goods will «turn».
Europe need external seafood supplies
The EU seafood trade balance deficit is increasing – and –
EU pays more for the imported seafood year by year!
«Third time lucky…»(?) - and so what…?
Nikolik, Rabobank, criticized the pangasius sector for having a non-differentiated, basic product – competing «only» on price….?
Judged by reports from the Chinese market this might be changing – pangasius fillets are regarded as high quality products – sought for by Chinese consumers
However, differentiation and marketing is likely still a relevant focus to pursue!
Frame it – Market it – tell the story – in your own way – AND, expect what to come… because there will be health issues (for the fish), potential health risks (for the consumers) and potential environmental risks down the road
AND further, let us hope for a change to a more ethical and fair trade situation as discussed by Little et al. in Marine policy (2012) – both from a regulatory point of view, AND with respect to mass media.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 marked a pivotal milestone for Vietnam’s seafood industry in its restructuring process toward sustainability, transparency, and higher value creation, amid continued uncertainties in the global economic and trade environment. Prolonged inflation in major economies, the rising trend of trade protectionism, and increasingly stringent requirements related to environmental standards, traceability, and social responsibility have posed significant challenges to seafood production and exports. Nevertheless, overcoming these pressures, Vietnam’s seafood sector has gradually demonstrated its adaptability, maintained growth momentum, and laid an important foundation for the next stage of development.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Amid the increasingly evident impacts of drought and saltwater intrusion, the shrimp-rice production model in Ca Mau province continues to prove itself as a viable direction, contributing to higher farmer incomes, improved soil conditions and the promotion of ecological and sustainable agricultural development.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The management of fishing vessels, monitoring of fishing activities, and handling of violations in the fisheries sector in Lam Dong province have continued to be implemented in a synchronized and stringent manner, contributing to raising awareness of legal compliance among fishermen and aiming to end illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Can Tho’s fishery industry sustained steady growth in 2025 with total aquatic and marine output reaching nearly 783,000 tons, fulfilling 100% of the annual target. Aquaculture, capture fisheries and fishing fleet management were further strengthened, aiming for sustainable development in the coming years.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s pangasius export turnover reached nearly USD 2.2 billion, up 8% year-on-year. This result indicates that pangasius exports maintained their growth momentum despite significant volatility in the global market environment. In December 2025, pangasius export value reached USD 200 million, up 10% compared to December 2024. This solid performance in the final month of the year reflects increased import demand for consumption and inventory replenishment in key markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Spain experienced significant fluctuations. According to Vietnam Customs, during the first 11 months of 2025, export turnover for the first 11 months of the year edged up by 0.3% year-on-year, reaching nearly $15 million.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Deputy Prime Minister Bui Thanh Son has signed Decision No. 16/QD-TTg, dated January 5, 2026, approving the implementation plan for the Vietnam-Israel Free Trade Agreement (VIFTA). Under the plan, in the coming period, ministries, ministerial-level agencies, government-affiliated entities and People’s Committees of provinces and centrally-run cities must institutionalize and execute tasks focused on the dissemination of information regarding VIFTA and the Israeli market; legislative and institutional development, as well as enhancing competitiveness and human resource growth...
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Beyond achieving double-digit growth, Vietnam’s fish cake and surimi exports are showing a notable year-end "inflection point": the EU his accelerating with nearly twofold growth, China & Hong Kong are rising sharply, while the largest market, South Korea, signaled a slowdown in November. According to Vietnam Customs data, export turnover of fish cake and surimi reached $327 million in the first 11 months of 2025, up 22% year-on-year; November 2025 alone accounted for $35 million, marking a 5% increase. This serves as a critical foundation for exporters to reassess market structures and competitive intensity while finalizing order strategies for 2026.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Ca Mau, widely regarded as the nation’s “shrimp capital”, continued its strong performance in 2025 as shrimp output reached nearly 600,000 tons, maintaining its position as Vietnam’s leading shrimp-producing locality.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On December 29, 2025, at the 2025 Pangasius Industry Review Conference held in Can Tho City, the Vietnam Pangasius Association announced that fingerling prices have surged to record levels due to acute supply shortages.
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