What will the price of pangasius be if it is subject to additional reciprocal taxes
When adding the tax, the product price still fluctuates around 50-60 cents/pound - which is still much lower than that of popular white fish such as cod or pollock. This fact shows that pangasius still maintains a competitive advantage in price, a very important factor in the context of American consumers increasingly tightening their spending after the pandemic and high inflation.
Pangasius is one of the few seafood products that is both reasonably priced and flexible in processing, suitable for many consumer segments from restaurants, industrial kitchens to family retail channels.
The real value of pangasius and the adaptability of the US market
It is worth noting that Vietnam's pangasius is increasingly gaining a stronger position on the American dining table - not only in the Asian community but also in the general consumer segments. From a market perspective, this reflects the level of "attachment" of pangasius to consumers and shows that the price increase is not an insurmountable barrier.
In fact, in the past, pangasius was more expensive than it is now, and the US market still consumed it well. This shows that if the supply chain is organized flexibly and systematically, the new price after tax can be completely absorbed by the market.
Of course, risks still exist. The uncertainty about US trade policy – especially during the Trump administration – makes it difficult to develop long-term business plans. On the other hand, if Vietnamese businesses are proactive in their market strategies, pangasius can still maintain its position in the US as it has done in many previous fluctuations.
Bouncing back from non - US markets
While the US is a large market and has a great influence on the pangasius industry, other bright spots cannot be ignored. The EU market is assessed to have slight growth potential thanks to loose fiscal policies, low inflation, and an appreciating EUR. These factors can all support the purchasing power of imported seafood, including pangasius.
In addition, the reduction of whitefish fishing quotas by many European countries, especially cod, will continue to create room for pangasius to replace. Consumers in this region are already accustomed to consuming frozen fish fillets, and are more likely to accept pangasius products if the price and quality are stable.
Pangasius supply chain: not just about taxes
One of the big problems today is not about prices or taxes – but about being cautious in controlling inventory and managing risks in the supply chain. When policy shocks occur too often, importers are forced to consider worst-case scenarios. This can cause actual transaction volume to be lower than market demand.
Therefore, in addition to expecting a more stable tax policy, the pangasius industry needs to gradually build a value chain with higher “resistance” – from farming areas, processing, logistics to the international distribution system.
Repositioning domestic pangasius – a strategy that needs to go hand in hand
The tax story in the US also reiterates an old but always necessary lesson: Do not depend too much on one market. The domestic market, with nearly 100 million people, is becoming increasingly attractive with rising incomes and changing culinary tastes. The problem is that pangasius has not yet found a suitable place in the country.
Pangasius has a great advantage in terms of price, nutrition and food safety. However, the lack of brand recognition, poor packaging and ineffective distribution make it difficult for the product to compete with other meats or seafood in modern retail channels.
A synchronous campaign is needed, with the participation of the state, enterprises and associations - to bring pangasius back to its rightful position: a national product, able to "stand firm at home" before "conquering" the world.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Spain increased by 13% compared to 2024. This growth trend has continued into the first two months of 2026. According to Vietnam Customs statistics, export turnover to this market reached nearly USD 3 million in January–February 2026, up 101% year-on-year and significantly higher than the same period in 2024. This development indicates that Spain is once again becoming a notable destination for Vietnamese tuna amid strong demand for tuna raw materials and products in Europe.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The 2026 brackish water shrimp farming season in the Mekong Delta has started earlier than usual, mainly driven by positive market signals, as shrimp prices in 2025 remained high and supply was limited. Many enterprises and farms in Cần Thơ, Cà Mau, and Vĩnh Long have proactively stocked early to seize opportunities. By early 2026, stocking areas in many localities had reached a high proportion of planned targets, with intensive and high-tech farming models expanding rapidly.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the United States recorded remarkable growth in 2025, opening up major opportunities while also presenting considerable challenges. The U.S. remains the largest importer of Vietnamese tilapia fillets, with export turnover reaching USD 40 million—an increase of up to 499% compared to 2024. This impressive growth reflects strong demand in the U.S. market, as supply from competing countries such as China has been constrained by tariffs and rising production costs.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Pangasius remains a strategic export commodity in Vietnam’s seafood sector. Entering 2026, the industry faces a strong need to transition from volume-based growth to a value-driven development model, with a focus on quality, food safety, and sustainability.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Following damage caused by Storm No. 13 in late 2025, brackish water shrimp farming in Gia Lai is being rapidly restored. In key farming areas such as Tuy Phước and Tuy Phước Đông, farmers are focusing on rehabilitating ponds, repairing infrastructure, and treating the environment in preparation for the 2026 crop.
(seafood.vasep.com) Facing the decline in fishery resources, Vietnam is accelerating livelihood transitions for fishermen to reduce fishing pressure and move toward sustainable development. Marine fish stocks have dropped significantly from 4.82 million tons in 2000–2005 to 3.95 million tons in 2016–2020.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp industry is entering a period of strong transformation with the emergence of various high-tech farming models, helping improve productivity and competitiveness. Over the past 5–10 years, farming practices have shifted from traditional methods to intensive and super-intensive systems, featuring lined ponds, environmental sensors, automated feeding, and data management.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With a focus on sustainable development, high-tech application, and climate change adaptation, An Giang Province aims to maintain its brackish water shrimp production in 2026 at a level equivalent to the previous year. Specifically, output is projected to reach over 155,510 tons, serving both domestic consumption and export processing, thereby sustaining the fisheries sector’s key role in the local economic structure.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the Mekong Delta, key pangasius farming provinces such as An Giang, Dong Thap, and Can Tho are accelerating the transition toward a circular economy model, contributing to higher product value and reduced environmental impact. Instead of focusing solely on farming and processing, the pangasius value chain is increasingly utilizing by-products and waste streams to generate added value.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s scallop exports are entering a phase of impressive growth, as the global market undergoes significant restructuring. In 2025, scallop export value reached nearly USD 66 million, up 49% from USD 44 million in 2024. This upward momentum has continued and accelerated into early 2026, with exports totaling USD 18.1 million in the first two months alone—an increase of 166% year-on-year. This represents an exceptionally high growth rate, reflecting the rapid expansion of a relatively new product segment within Vietnam’s mollusk export portfolio.
VASEP - HIỆP HỘI CHẾ BIẾN VÀ XUẤT KHẨU THỦY SẢN VIỆT NAM
Chịu trách nhiệm: Ông Nguyễn Hoài Nam - Phó Tổng thư ký Hiệp hội
Đơn vị vận hành trang tin điện tử: Trung tâm VASEP.PRO
Trưởng Ban Biên tập: Bà Phùng Thị Kim Thu
Giấy phép hoạt động Trang thông tin điện tử tổng hợp số 138/GP-TTĐT, ngày 01/10/2013 của Bộ Thông tin và Truyền thông
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 – (ext.203); email: kimthu@vasep.com.vn
Trụ sở: Số 7 đường Nguyễn Quý Cảnh, Phường An Phú, Quận 2, Tp.Hồ Chí Minh
Tel: (+84) 28.628.10430 - Fax: (+84) 28.628.10437 - Email: vasephcm@vasep.com.vn
VPĐD: số 10, Nguyễn Công Hoan, Ngọc Khánh, Ba Đình, Hà Nội
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 - Fax: (+84 24) 37715084 - Email: vasephn@vasep.com.vn