Vietnam tilapia industry: Capturing opportunities, developing strongly
In the first nine months of 2025, Vietnam’s tilapia export turnover reached $57.3 million, a surge of 332% compared to the same period in 2024 ($13.26 million). August alone recorded the highest growth, reaching nearly $10 million - reflecting the agility and responsiveness of Vietnamese enterprises amid significant market volatility. Vietnamese tilapia products have now penetrated in numerous markets, with the United States being the key market, accounting for the largest share of total export value.
However, entering the fourth quarter, growth momentum is expected to moderate due to temporarily high inventories in the U.S following strong imports in Q2 and Q3. This indicates that Vietnam needs to shift from exploiting short-term opportunities to pursuing a long-term strategic pathway - focusing on improving product quality, diversifying markets and building a sustainable Vietnamese tilapia brand.
China and Brazil Lose Ground as High Tariffs Bite
China – the world’s largest tilapia producer (~1.6 million tons/year) – is currently subject a 55% tariff on exports to the United States. The result has been severe: orders have plummeted, numerous contracts have been postponed or cancelled outright. While tilapia prices have edged up slightly, rising production costs are pushing companies into losses, and inventories have reached record levels. Brazil, once expected to replace China as a key supplier, has also faced export disruptions as the U.S. imposed a 50% tariff beginning in August, forcing companies to raise prices and lose competitiveness.
Both countries have pivoted back to their domestic markets to clear stocks, but with limited success. Lower retail prices cannot offset high production costs, and small to medium-sized enterprises — which primarily serve domestic consumers — face intense price competition. Overall, the tilapia industries in China and Brazil are confronting a dual challenge: slowing exports, falling prices, and deteriorating market sentiment.
Turning a short-term windfall into a long-term strategy
The experience of China and Brazil offers a stark lesson: over-reliance on a single market or a single product form leaves any aquaculture sector extremely vulnerable to policy shocks. When U.S. tariffs rose, both nations struggled to redirect shipments or sustain export volumes, resulting in significant loss of market share.
For Vietnam, this is the decisive moment to convert today’s temporary advantage into durable competitive strength. The tilapia sector should proactively diversify export markets — expanding into Europe, the Middle East, and South America — while developing more value-added products such as breaded tilapia, ready-to-cook items, and convenience-packaged portions. Parallel investments in broodstock improvement, farming technology, and advanced processing will boost productivity, reduce costs, and help meet global sustainability standards.
With Rabobank forecasting continued growth in global tilapia supply and consumers increasingly favoring environmentally responsible seafood, Vietnam has a clear opportunity to build a distinct national brand. The goal is no longer just to fill a temporary supply gap — it is to establish Vietnamese tilapia as a strategic, sustainable, high-value supplier for the long term.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In February 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached nearly USD 310 million, up 17% year-on-year. Cumulatively for the first two months of the year, shrimp export value totaled USD 690 million, an increase of 20% compared with the same period last year. Compared with the 22% growth recorded in January, the pace of increase in February slowed somewhat, reflecting seasonal factors as the Lunar New Year holiday partially disrupted processing and shipment activities. Nevertheless, the nearly 20% growth in the first two months indicates that shrimp orders from Vietnam are maintaining a more positive trend than in the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the latest statistics for January 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius export value to major market blocs recorded encouraging growth compared with the same period last year, indicating that consumption demand is gradually recovering.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports in February 2026 reached approximately USD 707 million, up 8% compared to the same period last year. Cumulatively, exports in the first two months of 2026 totaled USD 1.7 billion, an increase of 20.2% year-on-year. The results show that the sector’s recovery momentum has remained relatively solid following strong growth in January, although the pace slowed noticeably in February for several key products and major markets. Within the overall picture, shrimp continues to be the largest pillar, pangasius rebounds strongly, while tuna exports and the U.S. and Korean markets are sending signals that warrant closer monitoring. In March, seafood exports are expected to gain additional momentum from markets other than the U.S., potentially supporting stronger growth.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first months of 2026, fishing activities in Quang Tri province recorded many positive signals, with output reaching over 15,941 tons. This result not only demonstrates fishermen’s efforts to stay offshore but also reflects the effectiveness of management and support measures implemented by local authorities.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the first months of 2026, IUU prevention models focused on communication and mobilizing fishermen to comply with fisheries laws and avoid encroaching on foreign waters—related to combating illegal, unreported, and unregulated (IUU) fishing—have been implemented in coastal localities of Lam Dong province and have delivered initial positive results.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The sharp rise in raw pangasius prices to record levels is sending positive signals for the industry, but experts warn of potential supply–demand imbalances if production is not tightly controlled.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to statistics from Vietnam Customs, the country’s total canned tuna export value in 2025 reached over USD 275 million, down 8% compared to 2024. Vietnamese canned tuna products were present in approximately 80 markets worldwide. However, the 2025 picture shows clear divergence: the U.S. maintained stability, the EU declined sharply, while several Middle East–North Africa (MENA) markets accelerated.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s crab exports reached nearly USD 86 million, up almost 6% compared to 2024. A notable feature of 2025 was the strong market concentration in the United States, which accounted for more than 81% of Vietnam’s total crab export value, up 10% from the previous year. In contrast, exports to several Asian markets declined significantly, resulting in only modest overall growth for the year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tilapia exports recorded impressive growth, with total export turnover reaching over USD 99 million, highlighting the increasingly important role of this product in the country’s seafood export structure. Of this total, tilapia fillets and other fish meat products accounted for USD 61 million, representing 61% of total export value and reaffirming their position as the key product category.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Shrimp seed quality is considered the “first link” and a decisive factor affecting the efficiency of the entire commercial shrimp production chain. High-quality seed directly influences survival rates, growth performance, and disease resistance, thereby determining production costs, productivity, and farmers’ profitability.
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