Premium size Norwegian line-caught haddock is fetching anything up to £2.80 (€3.30/$4.50) per kilo on auction at the moment, Ken Wood, business development manager at Carisma UK, told IntraFish.
“We’ve seen trawler-caught haddock start to move upwards as well, but not to such a dramatic price as line-caught, while fresh haddock has been making a premium on the Grimsby market,” Wood said.
'People will just switch off'
There will be a point where people will just switch off, however, another UK buyer told IntraFish, although this hasn’t happened just yet.
“I think what is happening is people have tried to transfer their haddock business to cod without it being successful because retailers do not switch products so quickly, and there are also a lot of people buying haddock to service existing contracts fast,” th buyer said.
“There will have to be a point when people say, 'We just can’t supply it anymore,' but when that will be is the $64 million question.”
According to the buyer, headed & gutted (H&G) prices are currently standing at more than £4,000 (€4,745/$6,418) a metric ton. When negotiating future contracts, suppliers are quoting as much as 20 percent above this on some lines, he said.
“If you are looking to forward buy at China at the moment, with a shipment in November time, prices are up maybe 15-20 percent on where they were last time you placed a contract,” he told IntraFish.
Additionally, people who are buying cod at the moment are probably using that to get access to haddock.
“There is an abundance of cod and people have cod so if you can throw any cod business to a possible supplier, you are going to want to make sure you get some haddock as well with that because everybody has the cod,” the buyer said.
But simply, the biggest problem is that there is a shortage of haddock available for the market, he said.
Quotas
The supply of haddock has been, and continues to be constrained, confirmed Jon Stefansson, head of research at Marko Partners, which has affected the price and kept it relatively high for most of the year. This trend is likely to continue for some time.
“There has been some substitution – cod being substituted for haddock – in those markets where the supply is constrained, but maybe not to the extent that you would have expected,” Stefansson said.
Meanwhile, until the quotas have been decided and are out there in “black and white," no one knows what is going to happen to haddock, added Ken Wood. “But I forecast a very difficult year ahead on haddock,” he said.
In particular, buyers are concerned with reports quotas could fall a further 20 percent next year on top of the 20 percent drop that happened this year, which would add up to “quite a severe drop,” one buyer said.
(vasep.com.vn) VASEP has officially announced the program for Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026), featuring five in-depth sessions covering industry outlooks, trade barriers, buyer demand, the domestic market, and solutions to improve productivity and reduce costs across the seafood value chain.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached US$3.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up 11% year on year. Although growth has been supported by China and several markets within the CPTPP, momentum is slowing as exports to the United States and the European Union decline. Tariff pressures, international competition, and raw material challenges are creating significant hurdles for exporters in the final months of the year.
(vasep.com.vn) Markets are changing faster, buyer requirements are becoming more demanding, and trade barriers are growing increasingly complex. In this environment, seafood businesses need more than an understanding of current market conditions. They need a longer-term perspective to answer a critical question: Where will growth opportunities come from in 2027–2029, and what should businesses do now to prepare? This is one of the key reasons why VASEP is organizing Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first eight months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the Middle East reached US$113 million, up 7% year on year from the same period in 2025. Growth has become more pronounced in recent months. In August alone, exports to the region totaled US$20 million, an increase of 24%. This indicates that demand for Vietnamese pangasius in the Middle East is gradually recovering after a slowdown in March, although the pace of recovery varies across markets.
(vasep.com.vn) China’s shrimp imports continued to grow strongly in 2026, while Vietnam’s shrimp exports to the market also recorded notable growth. However, behind these positive figures lie two distinct trends: Chinese consumption is growing more slowly than imports, and lobster accounts for a substantial share of Vietnam’s shrimp exports to China, making its product mix significantly different from those of Ecuador and India. Exporters therefore need to assess each segment carefully to understand the opportunities and risks.
(vasep.com.vn) Changing markets, shifting buyer demand, and increasingly complex trade barriers are raising a key question for Vietnam’s seafood industry: Where will the new growth opportunities lie in 2027–2029?
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) As of the end of August 2026, Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the United States reached $21 million, representing a steep 48% year-over-year decline and accounting for 23% of the country's total tilapia export turnover. Frozen fillets accounted for 78% with the remainder consisting of whole frozen tilapia and frozen cuts.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After a volatile first half of the year, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to Brazil registered robust growth in July and August 2026. In August alone, export turnover reached $19 million, surging 73% compared to the same period in 2025. Cumulatively for the first eight months, total export value reached $124 million, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Besides modifying their boats, many fishermen in Dak Lak province are making efforts to venture out to sea to harvest seafood during the rough sea season.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) At the Responsible Seafood Summit and TCRS Shrimp Summit 2026, organized by the GSA (Global Seafood Alliance) in Bangkok, Thailand, the conversation about the future of the shrimp industry began with one of its most important foundations: seedstock quality.
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