This plan is based on a projection that total export turnover for the second half of the year will reach USD 31.6 billion, down 4.8% year-on-year, with an estimated loss of USD 1.6 billion if current retaliatory tariffs remain in place. In the first half of the year, export value was estimated at USD 33.5 billion and imports at USD 23.5 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 14.3% and 23.5%, respectively.
The ministry has outlined a roadmap: total exports should exceed USD 17 billion in Q2, reach USD 14–15 billion or more in Q3, and surpass USD 16 billion in Q4.
A farmer in Nga Nam town (Soc Trang) harvesting winter-spring rice. Taken on March 10, 2020. Credit: Nguyet Nhi.
To meet the 2025 target, the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment calls for the maximum use of the current tax deferral period, balancing the trade deficit with the US market, seizing short-term export opportunities in Q2 and early Q3, and maximizing export value in the second half of the year.
Forestry products, especially wood and wood-based goods, face the greatest pressure from US tariffs due to their large market share (67% of total export turnover). The 2025 export goal is USD 18.5 billion, a 7% increase over 2024 (with USD 8.4 billion in the first half and USD 10.1 billion in the second half).
The ministry recommends that businesses continue to identify and maintain product lines suitable for export to the US. To help reduce the trade imbalance, companies are also encouraged to increase imports of logs, sawn timber, and wood materials from the US.
At the same time, businesses should expand exports to Europe, Japan, Australia, Canada, and the Middle East—markets with strong resort development potential—to offset the decline in major markets. Participation in international trade fairs should also be enhanced to promote products directly to these markets.
For fisheries, which face the second-greatest pressure from US tariffs, the 2025 export goal is USD 10.5 billion, up 4.3% from 2024, with USD 5.4 billion expected in the second half of the year.
The ministry notes that retaliatory tariffs have had a significant impact on the fisheries sector, especially compared to competitors like India, Thailand, Indonesia, and Ecuador. In addition, consumer demand—particularly for shrimp and salmon—has shown a downward trend in early 2025.
Therefore, the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment proposes boosting pangasius exports, maintaining market share, and expanding sales of fresh seafood to China.
In addition to forestry and fisheries, to achieve the USD 65 billion target, the ministry has also outlined measures to promote exports of key agricultural products such as coffee, pepper, cashew nuts, tea, and rubber.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) By the end of 2025, Vietnam’s seafood industry had left a strong mark with export turnover reaching nearly $11.3 billion, up 12.4% year-on-year. This robust performance reflects not only a rebound in global consumption demand but also the agile adaptation of domestic firms in navigating increasingly stringent trade barriers.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the 2025 review and 2026 outlook conference held by the Directorate of Fisheries and Fisheries Surveillance on the afternoon of January 7, Vietnam’s seafood sector has set a total production target of over 10 million tons in 2026, representing a 0.6% increase year-on-year. Of this total, capture fisheries are projected at around 3.75 million tons (down 2.1%), while aquaculture output is expected to reach 6.25 million tonnes (up 2.2%) compared with 2025.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Sao Ta Food JSC (Fimex, Ticker: FMC) has announced its 2025 business results, reporting revenue of over $300 million (approximately 7.8 trillion VND), representing a 19.8% increase year-on-year; projected profit is expected to reach approximately 420 billion VND.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s fisheries sector concluded 2025 with landmark achievements: export turnover reached a record high, despite heightened volatility in global trade and increasingly stringent barriers from major markets, most notably the United States. Amid a mix of opportunities and challenges, the fisheries sector also witnessed important policy shifts. Together, these developments form a multifaceted picture of an industry proactively adapting and restructuring toward a trajectory of sustainable development.
(seafoos.vasep.com.vn) According to the Department of Agriculture and Environment of Vinh Long, the province’s shrimp farming area reached 69,800 hectares in 2025, including 7,500 hectares under high-tech farming models, 18,820 tons of black tiger shrimp and 293,000 tons of whiteleg shrimp.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Building on a robust growth momentum in 2025, Nghe An province has set a strategic goal to reach a total fisheries output of 270,000 tons by 2026, reinforcing its position as a key hub for aquaculture and exploitation.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Can Tho City statistics indicate that in 2025, following the merger of three former administrative entities - Can Tho, Hau Giang and Soc Trang - fisheries output in 2025 increased by 6.23% compared with 2024 with aquaculture production nearly 9.1 times higher than capture fisheries.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the Ca Mau Department of Agriculture and Rural Development, Ca Mau province has achieved significant, comprehensive and substantive progress in combating IUU fishing in 2025, successfully fulfilling all tasks directed by the central government and strengthening fisheries governance. These efforts have established a solid foundation for the nationwide effort to lift the EC’s "yellow card" warning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Ca Mau has exceeded its 2025 production targets, reaching nearly 595,000 tons of shrimp. This milestone reinforces the province’s position as Vietnam’s leading shrimp producer and a bright spot in the country’s seafood sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to Vietnam Customs data, cumulative shrimp exports from the beginning of the year through November reached $4.3 billion, up 21% year-on-year, continuing to serve as the primary growth driver of the entire seafood sector. In November alone, export turnover amounted to $393 million, up 14%.
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