This plan is based on a projection that total export turnover for the second half of the year will reach USD 31.6 billion, down 4.8% year-on-year, with an estimated loss of USD 1.6 billion if current retaliatory tariffs remain in place. In the first half of the year, export value was estimated at USD 33.5 billion and imports at USD 23.5 billion, representing year-on-year increases of 14.3% and 23.5%, respectively.
The ministry has outlined a roadmap: total exports should exceed USD 17 billion in Q2, reach USD 14–15 billion or more in Q3, and surpass USD 16 billion in Q4.
A farmer in Nga Nam town (Soc Trang) harvesting winter-spring rice. Taken on March 10, 2020. Credit: Nguyet Nhi.
To meet the 2025 target, the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment calls for the maximum use of the current tax deferral period, balancing the trade deficit with the US market, seizing short-term export opportunities in Q2 and early Q3, and maximizing export value in the second half of the year.
Forestry products, especially wood and wood-based goods, face the greatest pressure from US tariffs due to their large market share (67% of total export turnover). The 2025 export goal is USD 18.5 billion, a 7% increase over 2024 (with USD 8.4 billion in the first half and USD 10.1 billion in the second half).
The ministry recommends that businesses continue to identify and maintain product lines suitable for export to the US. To help reduce the trade imbalance, companies are also encouraged to increase imports of logs, sawn timber, and wood materials from the US.
At the same time, businesses should expand exports to Europe, Japan, Australia, Canada, and the Middle East—markets with strong resort development potential—to offset the decline in major markets. Participation in international trade fairs should also be enhanced to promote products directly to these markets.
For fisheries, which face the second-greatest pressure from US tariffs, the 2025 export goal is USD 10.5 billion, up 4.3% from 2024, with USD 5.4 billion expected in the second half of the year.
The ministry notes that retaliatory tariffs have had a significant impact on the fisheries sector, especially compared to competitors like India, Thailand, Indonesia, and Ecuador. In addition, consumer demand—particularly for shrimp and salmon—has shown a downward trend in early 2025.
Therefore, the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment proposes boosting pangasius exports, maintaining market share, and expanding sales of fresh seafood to China.
In addition to forestry and fisheries, to achieve the USD 65 billion target, the ministry has also outlined measures to promote exports of key agricultural products such as coffee, pepper, cashew nuts, tea, and rubber.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Currently, Da Nang City has no fishing vessels detained, sanctioned by foreign authorities, or criminally prosecuted for IUU fishing violations. Patrols, monitoring of marine fishing activities, and handling of violations have been prioritized by competent forces, significantly reducing nearshore fishing infringements.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to statistics from Vietnam Customs, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Israel in the first nine months of 2025 reached just over USD 27 million, down as much as 49% compared to the same period in 2024. This is a steep and prolonged decline for many consecutive months, reflecting changes in import demand as well as shifts in the supply structure of this market.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The first 700 tons of Vietnamese tilapia ordered and imported by JBS Group will initially be distributed through supermarket chains, the Horeca network and JBS’s product showrooms in Brazil.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In October 2025, Vietnam’s pangasius exports hit $217 million, representing an 8% increase compared to the same month in 2024. For the first 10 months of the year, total export value has surpassed $1.8 billion, up 9% year-on-year. This growth demonstrates clear positive momentum for the pangasius industry, despite continued declines in certain markets.
In recent days, the Central provinces of Vietnam have been suffering from historic flooding, with prolonged heavy rains, landslides, flash floods, and deep inundation causing extremely serious impacts on tens of thousands of households, as well as many VASEP member exporters located in the region. With the spirit of mutual support and solidarity, and in order to promptly assist residents and member exporters in the affected areas to stabilize their lives and restore production activities, VASEP calls on all seafood exporters, organizations, and individuals to extend supports to the people and member exporters in the flood-hit areas. We urge timely and practical material and spiritual contributions to help member exporters and local communities in the severely affected provinces overcome this difficult period.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the final days of October 2025, Vietnam’s domestic raw shrimp market remained generally stable, though slight adjustments were recorded in several sizes across key farming regions.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached USD 498 million in October 2025, up 26% from the same period last year. This is one of the highest monthly revenues since the beginning of the year, reflecting solid demand in major markets and faster shipment schedules by exporters. From January to October, shrimp export value reached USD 3.9 billion, up 22% compared to the same period in 2024.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On October 31, 2025, the US Court of International Trade (CIT) officially issued an order to suspend the case filed by the National Fisheries Institute (NFI), the National Restaurant Association (NRA), and several US seafood companies against the US Government concerning the implementation of the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA).
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) An Giang’s fisheries sector has maintained stable growth momentum during the first nine months of 2025, making an important contribution to the province’s socio-economic development. Despite facing numerous challenges, the province is implementing various measures to enhance production efficiency, expand markets, and promote sustainable fisheries development toward deeper integration into the global economy.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius export value in September 2025 reached USD 181 million, up 5% compared to the same period in 2024. The overall trend for the pangasius industry remains positive, with total exports in the first nine months of 2025 reaching nearly USD 1.6 billion, an increase of 9% year-on-year.
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