Vietnam's seafood export turnover in the first five months of 2025 reached over $4.34 billion, up 22% compared to the same period in 2024. In May, exports hit nearly $997 million, marking a 20% increase. Notably, the U.S. market stood out with a turnover of over $234 million in May, surging 61% year-on-year—the highest growth among major markets.
This sharp rise was mainly driven by a “policy gap” in U.S. tariffs. From April 9 to July 9, 2025, the U.S. applied a temporary 10% tariff on imports from Vietnam, significantly lower than the previously warned 46%. Seizing this window, many Vietnamese enterprises accelerated deliveries.
In the first five-month period, shrimp remained the leading export item with a turnover of more than $1.71 billion, up 32%. In May, shrimp exports reached over $415 million - the highest monthly figure of the year. Pangasius also saw positive growth of 11% over five months, with a strong 13% increase in May, contrasting with a modest 4% rise in April.
Pangasius exports to the U.S., which had plummeted in April, rebounded by 35% in May—a clear testament to businesses' flexible adjustments in delivery schedules.
Similarly, tuna exports also showed signs of recovery, albeit at a slower pace. After a slight decline in April, tuna exports rose by 7.6% in May, bringing the total five-month export value to over USD 405 million - an increase of 5%. Other product groups such as squid - octopus, crabs and bivalve mollusks also posted strong growth, with bivalve mollusks achieving an impressive 63% increase.
On the market side, the U.S. remained the most volatile. In the first five months of the year, exports to this market reached $774 million, up 27%. However, the sharp growth in May was largely time-sensitive. If the tariff reverts to the projected 46% after July 9, 2025, many enterprises will be forced to halt shipments, risking a sharp decline in orders in the third quarter.
Meanwhile, the EU and Japan recorded steadier growth of 14% and 18% respectively over the five-month period. China and Hong Kong continued to serve as key pillars, with exports surging by 50%, especially for shrimp (+90%) and bivalve mollusks (+285%).
However, behind this short-term growth, Vietnam’s seafood industry faces significant challenges from U.S. tariff policies. A potential 46% countervailing duty would inflate costs, create a compounding tax burden, and push many businesses—especially small ones—into precarious positions. The consequences could extend beyond lost orders, potentially disrupting entire supply chains and increasing localized unemployment in seafood-producing regions.
Competitors like China, India, Thailand, and South American salmon producers are also maneuvering to either cope or capitalize on market share opportunities. Notably, exporters from Latin America, such as Brazil and Chile, are poised to benefit if Vietnam is squeezed out of the U.S. supply chain due to high tariffs.
Vietnam’s seafood export outlook for 2025 hinges heavily on the tariff scenario post-July 9. If the tariff remains at 10% or is eliminated, Vietnam could maintain or exceed $10 billion in exports. However, a 46% tariff could drag the annual turnover down to $9 billion, with lingering risks.
Vietnam’s seafood exports are demonstrating strong recovery and adaptability amid uncertainties. Yet, the sustainability of growth in the second half of 2025 will largely depend on U.S. trade policies. This will be the pivotal factor shaping Vietnam’s seafood industry landscape in 2025.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In January 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached USD 379.6 million, up 22% compared to the same period in 2025. The double-digit growth in the very first month of the year signals a relatively positive recovery in orders, particularly in Asian markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) From the very beginning of 2026, India’s shrimp industry has received a series of favorable trade signals: U.S. reciprocal tariffs have been reduced, while the successful conclusion of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the EU has opened prospects for eliminating nearly all seafood tariffs in the coming years. This shift not only enables Indian shrimp to quickly offset declines in the U.S. market, but also reshapes the global competitive landscape, placing greater pressure on Vietnamese shrimp exporters in terms of price, market share, and strategic positioning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius industry is recording many positive signals, both in terms of raw fish prices and export prospects. Export turnover this year is projected to reach approximately USD 2.3 billion. Amid ongoing volatility in the global market, diversifying export destinations, reducing dependence on major markets, and effectively leveraging free trade agreements (FTAs) are considered key to maintaining sustainable growth and creating new momentum for the pangasius sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With forecasts indicating that weather conditions in 2026 may become more complex—featuring prolonged heatwaves, unseasonal rains, and increased salinity intrusion—the agricultural sector of Can Tho City advises brackish water shrimp farmers to strictly follow the seasonal farming calendar and strengthen pond environmental management to minimize risks and improve production efficiency.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On February 4, a working delegation led by the Authority of Telecommunications (Ministry of Science and Technology) met with the Management Board of Cat Lo Fishing Port (Phuoc Thang Ward, Ho Chi Minh City) to comprehensively review the installation of Vessel Monitoring Systems (VMS), assess signal connectivity, and evaluate the effectiveness of information technology applications in fisheries management across the city.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 marked a significant milestone for China’s lobster market, with total imports reaching a record high and the supply structure undergoing major changes. Amid this surge, Vietnam’s lobster exports—especially green lobster—accelerated dramatically, reaching new highs and contributing substantially to Vietnam’s overall record shrimp export value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With a range of synchronized solutions, from institutional improvements and strengthened communication to strict fleet control, Quang Ninh is stepping up efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing, determined to join the country in soon having the European Commission’s (EC) “yellow card” lifted.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 closed with a remarkable milestone for Vietnam’s shrimp industry. According to Vietnam Customs, the country’s total shrimp export turnover in 2025 reached USD 4.6 billion, up 19% compared to 2024 and the highest level ever recorded.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) During the 2026–2030 period, Quang Tri province aims to convert 771 fishing vessels currently engaged in activities detrimental to marine resources and the ecological environment to more environmentally friendly fishing practices or shift entirely to other economic sectors.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) 2025 recorded a breakthrough growth in Vietnam’s tilapia exports, in which the U.S market emerging as the primary growth driver. The total export turnover of Vietnamese tilapia to the United States reached $53.15 million during the year, surging 173% year-on-year and accounting for 54% of Vietnam’s total tilapia export value, thereby making the U.S the largest import market for this commodity. Compared to 2024, tilapia exports to the U.S posted robust growth, reflecting the import demand as well as the ability of Vietnamese enterprises to capitalize on market opportunities amidst volatile global competitive dynamics.
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