Exports to major markets decline
In July 2025, Vietnam's tuna exports to several key markets experienced a decline.
In the US market, tuna exports to the U.S continued to falter due to concerns over new countervailing tariffs that came into effect in early August 2025. As a result, exports to this market saw a significant drop in July of nearly 38% compared to the same period last year, reaching approximately $21 million.
After five consecutive months of growth, tuna exports to Japan reversed course in July, declining by 23% compared to the same period last year.
In the Middle East bloc, the escalating conflicts in the Gaza Strip have impacted Vietnam's tuna exports to the region. Notably, exports to Israel saw a sharp decline, dropping by 43% in July, amounting to just over $2 million.
By contrast, tuna exports to the European market rebounded, rising 12% in July. Among the top importing markets in the EU, exports to the Netherlands surged by an impressive 133% year-on-year, while exports to Italy and Germany declined. Alongside the Netherlands, exports to Lithuania and Belgium also grew rapidly, by 105% and 56%, respectively.
In addition to the EU, exports to Canada maintained strong growth in July, rising by 39% compared to the same period last year. Exports to Mexico also saw a significant increase of 53% in the same month.
Market outlook
Starting August 7, 2025, the United States implemented new countervailing duties specific to each country. The disparity in duty rates applied to Vietnamese products compared to those from competitors like Thailand, Indonesia and Ecuador is eroding the competitiveness of Vietnamese tuna. This is expected to eroding tuna exports to the U.S market.
Additionally, geopolitical instability, logistical challenges and fluctuating demand in key markets such as Russia, Israel and Chile are having a considerable impact on Vietnam’s tuna exports to these regions.
Meanwhile, regulatory constraints related to fishing, processing, and exporting tuna in Vietnam remain unresolved. Vietnamese tuna businesses are facing numerous difficulties and challenges. Consequently, it is forecasted that Vietnamese tuna will struggle to make a breakthrough and maintain its market share this year.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the EU reached approximately $148 million, up 12% compared to the same period in 2025. In September 2026 alone, export turnover to this market hit $18 million, a 27% year-on-year increase. Despite diverging demand across member states, the EU remains a market with growth potential for Vietnamese pangasius, particularly as supplies of several traditional whitefish species face mounting pressure.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports to the US are showing a clear recovery after a difficult start to the year. However, the rebound is taking place against a backdrop of declining US tuna imports and a shifting supply structure, posing new challenges for Vietnamese businesses.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports to Japan reached US$440.9 million, up 6.4% year on year. This result is noteworthy as Japan’s total shrimp imports continued to decline slightly and competition among suppliers intensified. Demand for convenience foods and processed products continues to create opportunities for Vietnamese exporters, but capitalizing on these opportunities requires stronger competitiveness and the ability to meet increasingly specific market requirements.
(vasep.com.vn) After slowing in the first months of the year, Vietnam’s tuna exports have shown a clear improvement since June 2026. However, behind September’s double-digit growth lies a notable reality: export value is recovering, but pressures from markets, trade policies, and competition among suppliers remain.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius export value reached US$1.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up 11% year on year. In September alone, exports totaled US$210 million, an increase of 16%. China, the United States, and Brazil were the three largest markets, accounting for 49% of total export value. While China and Brazil maintained their growth momentum, exports to the US remained below the level recorded in the same period last year.
(vasep.com.vn) On November 11, 2026, in Can Tho, the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) will organize the Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026) under the theme “Seafood Market Outlook 2027–2029: Opportunities and Headroom for Double-Digit Export Growth.”
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Business leader Do Ngoc Tai, General Director of Tai Kim Anh Seafood Processing Joint Stock Company, was honored by the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI) with the title “Outstanding Vietnamese Entrepreneur – Thanh Giong Cup 2026” at a ceremony celebrating Vietnam Entrepreneurs’ Day (October 13). The event took place on the evening of October 11, 2026, at the National Convention Center in Hanoi.
(vasep.com.vn) The global tilapia market is becoming increasingly segmented, not only among producing countries but also by product type and destination market. Supply is divided into groups with distinct competitive advantages: large volumes of whole fish and frozen fillets from Asia, high-value fresh fillets from Latin America, and substantial domestic consumption in several major producing countries.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports to the UK grew in the first eight months of 2026, despite signs of slowing import demand in the market. However, sharp fluctuations in orders, competition from major suppliers, and new traceability requirements are creating challenges for Vietnamese exporters.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam is stepping up efforts to combat illegal fishing, protect marine ecosystems, expand digital monitoring, and develop science-based management to ensure the sea can support communities and the economy for generations to come.
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