During the last four weeks, equatorial sea surface temperatures have been more than 0.5ºC above average across the Eastern Pacific Ocean, according to the Climate Prediction Center of the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The continued warmth, along with model forecasts, means there is “increased confidence for a weak-to-moderate El Nino during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2012-13.”
The climate pattern occurs across the tropical Pacific Ocean about every five years and it is known to drive tuna stocks away from fishing grounds off the eastern coast of South America. In 2010, skipjack catches in the Eastern Pacific Ocean (EPO) declined by more than half, when compared to 2008 levels, after an El Nino period developed in mid-2009 and continued into the first quarter of 2010.
To escape the warmer temperatures, tuna fish migrate west where fishermen in the Western and Central Pacific (WCP) eagerly wait for the favorable fishing conditions. In 2009, skipjack catches increased by about 10% in the WCP from the previous year. Similarly in 2010, skipjack catches in the WCP were about 6% higher than 2008 levels, reaching 1,610,578 tons.
According to the Western and Central Pacific Fisheries Commission, the organization in charge of the region’s management, fishing effort typically expands to the east during El Nino years and contracts to western areas of the WCP (Papua New Guinea, Federated States of Micronesia and Solomon Islands) during periods of its cooler opposite, La Nina.
Korean tuna giant, Dongwon, is already anticipating higher profits this year due to the influx of tuna in its fishing region.
The Climate Prediction Center indicates El Nino conditions are likely to develop during August or September.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Japan continues to be one of Vietnam’s most important and stable shrimp markets. In recent years, shrimp exports to this market have fluctuated in line with Japan’s broader economic and consumption cycles, yet Japan remains a major, high-value destination with stringent standards.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In 2025, Vietnam’s tuna exports to Spain increased by 13% compared to 2024. This growth trend has continued into the first two months of 2026. According to Vietnam Customs statistics, export turnover to this market reached nearly USD 3 million in January–February 2026, up 101% year-on-year and significantly higher than the same period in 2024. This development indicates that Spain is once again becoming a notable destination for Vietnamese tuna amid strong demand for tuna raw materials and products in Europe.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The 2026 brackish water shrimp farming season in the Mekong Delta has started earlier than usual, mainly driven by positive market signals, as shrimp prices in 2025 remained high and supply was limited. Many enterprises and farms in Cần Thơ, Cà Mau, and Vĩnh Long have proactively stocked early to seize opportunities. By early 2026, stocking areas in many localities had reached a high proportion of planned targets, with intensive and high-tech farming models expanding rapidly.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tilapia exports to the United States recorded remarkable growth in 2025, opening up major opportunities while also presenting considerable challenges. The U.S. remains the largest importer of Vietnamese tilapia fillets, with export turnover reaching USD 40 million—an increase of up to 499% compared to 2024. This impressive growth reflects strong demand in the U.S. market, as supply from competing countries such as China has been constrained by tariffs and rising production costs.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Pangasius remains a strategic export commodity in Vietnam’s seafood sector. Entering 2026, the industry faces a strong need to transition from volume-based growth to a value-driven development model, with a focus on quality, food safety, and sustainability.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Following damage caused by Storm No. 13 in late 2025, brackish water shrimp farming in Gia Lai is being rapidly restored. In key farming areas such as Tuy Phước and Tuy Phước Đông, farmers are focusing on rehabilitating ponds, repairing infrastructure, and treating the environment in preparation for the 2026 crop.
(seafood.vasep.com) Facing the decline in fishery resources, Vietnam is accelerating livelihood transitions for fishermen to reduce fishing pressure and move toward sustainable development. Marine fish stocks have dropped significantly from 4.82 million tons in 2000–2005 to 3.95 million tons in 2016–2020.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp industry is entering a period of strong transformation with the emergence of various high-tech farming models, helping improve productivity and competitiveness. Over the past 5–10 years, farming practices have shifted from traditional methods to intensive and super-intensive systems, featuring lined ponds, environmental sensors, automated feeding, and data management.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With a focus on sustainable development, high-tech application, and climate change adaptation, An Giang Province aims to maintain its brackish water shrimp production in 2026 at a level equivalent to the previous year. Specifically, output is projected to reach over 155,510 tons, serving both domestic consumption and export processing, thereby sustaining the fisheries sector’s key role in the local economic structure.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In the Mekong Delta, key pangasius farming provinces such as An Giang, Dong Thap, and Can Tho are accelerating the transition toward a circular economy model, contributing to higher product value and reduced environmental impact. Instead of focusing solely on farming and processing, the pangasius value chain is increasingly utilizing by-products and waste streams to generate added value.
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