China and Hong Kong remain the largest markets for Vietnamese pangasius exports. In October 2024, exports to this region reached $61 million, up 9% compared to the same period last year. However, total exports to China and Hong Kong for the first ten months of 2024 declined by 2%, totaling $479 million.
In the first month of the final quarter, pangasius exports to the United States surged by 65% year-on-year, reaching over $35 million. The total export value to the U.S. for the first ten months of 2024 exceeded $291 million, marking a 28% increase. With Donald Trump securing a second term and set to officially take office early next year, new tax policies on imported goods, including pangasius, are anticipated. Guided by slogans such as "America First" and "Make America Great Again," and focusing on economic growth, Trump's administration is expected to influence trade with Vietnam, including the pangasius sector. Nevertheless, the outlook remains positive, with order volumes expected to increase as Vietnam and the U.S. continue their comprehensive strategic partnership, along with potential tax policy adjustments.
Earlier, the preliminary results of the 20th Administrative Review (POR 20) revealed favorable outcomes for Vietnamese pangasius exporters. Two mandatory respondents received anti-dumping duty rates of $0.00/kg, while six additional companies were granted separate duty rates of $0.00/kg. These results are more favorable than the previous POR 19 review, where rates ranged from $0.00/kg to $0.18/kg.
The CPTPP bloc remains Vietnam's third-largest market for pangasius exports. Over the first ten months of 2024, exports to CPTPP countries, bolstered by the agreement, reached over $224 million, an 11% year-on-year increase.
Exports to the EU remained nearly unchanged from the same period last year. In the first ten months of 2024, exports to this region increased slightly by 0.04%, totaling nearly $144 million. Several EU markets recorded double-digit growth in imports of Vietnamese pangasius, including Lithuania, Ireland, Italy, Belgium, Spain, Poland, and Portugal.
Vietnam's pangasius exports are expected to surpass the $2 billion mark in 2024. Year-end orders are projected to rise in anticipation of holiday and festive celebrations. Additionally, concerns over potential tax adjustments and increases have prompted some importers to accelerate their orders before President Trump's inauguration.
Shrimp has been the most important export product of Vietnam’s seafood industry for many years, typically accounting for 35–45% of the country’s total seafood export value. With a well-developed farming, processing, and export system, Vietnam has become one of the world’s leading shrimp exporters.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate, the global food market is facing increasing volatility in logistics costs, energy prices, and supply chains. In the seafood sector, alongside ocean-caught products such as tuna, the surimi-based product group—including fish cakes, crab sticks, fish balls, and other imitation seafood products—has also been affected to some extent by these developments.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the 2026 brackish-water shrimp farming calendar issued by the Da Nang Department of Agriculture and Environment, the 2026 crop started in early January and is expected to harvest in late June. However, stocking progress has been slower than planned as farmers remain cautious, focusing on pond renovation and production preparations.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After the Lunar New Year of Binh Ngo 2026, commercial clam prices in Ha Tinh province surged sharply, nearly doubling compared to normal levels and standing about 20–30% higher than the same period last year. The spike has encouraged many aquaculture households to accelerate harvesting and sell large volumes to the market.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In January 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached USD 379.6 million, up 22% compared to the same period in 2025. The double-digit growth in the very first month of the year signals a relatively positive recovery in orders, particularly in Asian markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) From the very beginning of 2026, India’s shrimp industry has received a series of favorable trade signals: U.S. reciprocal tariffs have been reduced, while the successful conclusion of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the EU has opened prospects for eliminating nearly all seafood tariffs in the coming years. This shift not only enables Indian shrimp to quickly offset declines in the U.S. market, but also reshapes the global competitive landscape, placing greater pressure on Vietnamese shrimp exporters in terms of price, market share, and strategic positioning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius industry is recording many positive signals, both in terms of raw fish prices and export prospects. Export turnover this year is projected to reach approximately USD 2.3 billion. Amid ongoing volatility in the global market, diversifying export destinations, reducing dependence on major markets, and effectively leveraging free trade agreements (FTAs) are considered key to maintaining sustainable growth and creating new momentum for the pangasius sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With forecasts indicating that weather conditions in 2026 may become more complex—featuring prolonged heatwaves, unseasonal rains, and increased salinity intrusion—the agricultural sector of Can Tho City advises brackish water shrimp farmers to strictly follow the seasonal farming calendar and strengthen pond environmental management to minimize risks and improve production efficiency.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On February 4, a working delegation led by the Authority of Telecommunications (Ministry of Science and Technology) met with the Management Board of Cat Lo Fishing Port (Phuoc Thang Ward, Ho Chi Minh City) to comprehensively review the installation of Vessel Monitoring Systems (VMS), assess signal connectivity, and evaluate the effectiveness of information technology applications in fisheries management across the city.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 marked a significant milestone for China’s lobster market, with total imports reaching a record high and the supply structure undergoing major changes. Amid this surge, Vietnam’s lobster exports—especially green lobster—accelerated dramatically, reaching new highs and contributing substantially to Vietnam’s overall record shrimp export value.
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