Clear signals from major exporting countries
Ecuador, traditionally known for exporting HOSO (head-on, shell-on) shrimp to China, has now accelerated its move into the processed product segment, particularly for the U.S. and EU markets. In June 2025, Ecuador exported a record 126,074 tons of shrimp, up 18% year-on-year. Exports to the U.S. reached 21,388 tons (+44%) and to the EU reached 28,617 tons (+42%).
Beyond volume growth, Ecuador has also strengthened exports of peeled, quick-cleaned, and processed products such as PD, PPV, and HLSO shrimp. The country’s value-added output surged from 127,980 tons in 2020 to 268,720 tons in 2022, doubling in just two years.
India, despite facing heavy U.S. anti-dumping duties (nearly 60%), has maintained positive shrimp export growth to the U.S. in the first seven months of this year. However, the pressure from the U.S. market has pushed Indian exporters to pivot toward the EU, where India is negotiating the removal of import restrictions starting October 2025. If successful, competition in the EU—especially in the ready-to-eat and processed segments—is expected to intensify.
Indonesia, meanwhile, faces significant challenges as 60% of its shrimp exports depend on the U.S. The country’s total exports in 2025 are projected to reach only around 220,000 tons. The newly imposed 19% U.S. tariff could cause a 30% export decline, forcing many expansion plans to halt. Indonesian exporters are now turning to China (which imports nearly 1 million tons per year) and the Middle East, but lower prices are squeezing profit margins.
Consumer demand reshaping the market
On the demand side, the U.S., EU, and China are showing a clear preference for value-added shrimp products.
Europe: Rapid growth in demand—particularly in Southern Europe—driven by younger consumers favoring convenient, ready-to-eat products, along with strict sustainability certification requirements.
China: Still self-sufficient for around 70% of domestic consumption but increasingly importing to diversify. Consumers there enjoy everything from frozen whole shrimp to ready-to-cook or ready-to-eat items.
United States: Continues to increase imports from Ecuador while imposing high tariffs on India, creating indirect opportunities for suppliers with transparent supply chains such as Vietnam.
This consumer shift is putting major pressure on exporters that still rely heavily on raw materials. Countries that invest early in processing capacity, product standardization, and international certifications will gain a competitive edge in the new landscape.
Opportunities and challenges for Vietnam
As a global processing hub, Vietnam faces both opportunities and challenges. Vietnamese shrimp processors have a total capacity of millions of tons per year, capable of supplying a wide range of products—from frozen blocks to cooked, breaded, and retail-packed value-added shrimp. This gives Vietnam a significant advantage in adapting to the ongoing trend.
However, major import markets such as the U.S. and EU are also tightening regulations on food safety and trade fraud prevention, creating new compliance burdens for exporters.
In the first eight months of 2025, Vietnam’s value-added shrimp exports (HS code 16) reached USD 1 billion, up 12% year-on-year, accounting for 34% of total shrimp export value. The main markets for Vietnam’s value-added shrimp include the U.S. (28% share), Japan (18%), and South Korea (8%).
The transition from raw shrimp to value-added products is accelerating rapidly. Ecuador stands as a vivid example, having increased both export volume and processing proportion to expand into the U.S. and EU. India and Indonesia are also being forced to adapt to retain their market shares.
This presents a crucial opportunity for Vietnam. By leveraging its strong processing base, enhancing supply chain transparency, complying with sustainability standards, and investing in product innovation, Vietnam can solidify its position as a global center for value-added shrimp processing.
In an era of fierce competition, the future of the shrimp industry will no longer rely on raw production volume—but on value-added innovation and sustainable branding.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to the 2026 brackish-water shrimp farming calendar issued by the Da Nang Department of Agriculture and Environment, the 2026 crop started in early January and is expected to harvest in late June. However, stocking progress has been slower than planned as farmers remain cautious, focusing on pond renovation and production preparations.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After the Lunar New Year of Binh Ngo 2026, commercial clam prices in Ha Tinh province surged sharply, nearly doubling compared to normal levels and standing about 20–30% higher than the same period last year. The spike has encouraged many aquaculture households to accelerate harvesting and sell large volumes to the market.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In January 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached USD 379.6 million, up 22% compared to the same period in 2025. The double-digit growth in the very first month of the year signals a relatively positive recovery in orders, particularly in Asian markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) From the very beginning of 2026, India’s shrimp industry has received a series of favorable trade signals: U.S. reciprocal tariffs have been reduced, while the successful conclusion of a Free Trade Agreement (FTA) with the EU has opened prospects for eliminating nearly all seafood tariffs in the coming years. This shift not only enables Indian shrimp to quickly offset declines in the U.S. market, but also reshapes the global competitive landscape, placing greater pressure on Vietnamese shrimp exporters in terms of price, market share, and strategic positioning.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Entering 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius industry is recording many positive signals, both in terms of raw fish prices and export prospects. Export turnover this year is projected to reach approximately USD 2.3 billion. Amid ongoing volatility in the global market, diversifying export destinations, reducing dependence on major markets, and effectively leveraging free trade agreements (FTAs) are considered key to maintaining sustainable growth and creating new momentum for the pangasius sector.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With forecasts indicating that weather conditions in 2026 may become more complex—featuring prolonged heatwaves, unseasonal rains, and increased salinity intrusion—the agricultural sector of Can Tho City advises brackish water shrimp farmers to strictly follow the seasonal farming calendar and strengthen pond environmental management to minimize risks and improve production efficiency.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) On February 4, a working delegation led by the Authority of Telecommunications (Ministry of Science and Technology) met with the Management Board of Cat Lo Fishing Port (Phuoc Thang Ward, Ho Chi Minh City) to comprehensively review the installation of Vessel Monitoring Systems (VMS), assess signal connectivity, and evaluate the effectiveness of information technology applications in fisheries management across the city.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 marked a significant milestone for China’s lobster market, with total imports reaching a record high and the supply structure undergoing major changes. Amid this surge, Vietnam’s lobster exports—especially green lobster—accelerated dramatically, reaching new highs and contributing substantially to Vietnam’s overall record shrimp export value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) With a range of synchronized solutions, from institutional improvements and strengthened communication to strict fleet control, Quang Ninh is stepping up efforts to combat illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing, determined to join the country in soon having the European Commission’s (EC) “yellow card” lifted.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The year 2025 closed with a remarkable milestone for Vietnam’s shrimp industry. According to Vietnam Customs, the country’s total shrimp export turnover in 2025 reached USD 4.6 billion, up 19% compared to 2024 and the highest level ever recorded.
VASEP - HIỆP HỘI CHẾ BIẾN VÀ XUẤT KHẨU THỦY SẢN VIỆT NAM
Chịu trách nhiệm: Ông Nguyễn Hoài Nam - Phó Tổng thư ký Hiệp hội
Đơn vị vận hành trang tin điện tử: Trung tâm VASEP.PRO
Trưởng Ban Biên tập: Bà Phùng Thị Kim Thu
Giấy phép hoạt động Trang thông tin điện tử tổng hợp số 138/GP-TTĐT, ngày 01/10/2013 của Bộ Thông tin và Truyền thông
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 – (ext.203); email: kimthu@vasep.com.vn
Trụ sở: Số 7 đường Nguyễn Quý Cảnh, Phường An Phú, Quận 2, Tp.Hồ Chí Minh
Tel: (+84) 28.628.10430 - Fax: (+84) 28.628.10437 - Email: vasephcm@vasep.com.vn
VPĐD: số 10, Nguyễn Công Hoan, Ngọc Khánh, Ba Đình, Hà Nội
Tel: (+84 24) 3.7715055 - Fax: (+84 24) 37715084 - Email: vasephn@vasep.com.vn