Thiptawat Suwantammarong, analyst at Asia Plus Securities, said "this is one of the worst crisis for Thai shrimp industry."
Production dropped by more than 50 percent compared to its normal production size of 500,000 metric tons a year. The consequences were severe: Shrimp prices went through the roof, and the shortage has left everyone scrambling for product.
Prasit Sujiravorakul, an analyst at BNP Paribas Securities, agreed with Suwantammarong, saying production levels could normalize by late spring. "The second quarter output this year plunged to 50 percent of normal levels and this will slightly go up throughout the rest of the year," he said.
Output will have recovered to a 20 percent gap compared to normal production levels by the end of this year, he predicted. As a result, prices will go down, and have already started going down. "The price came down 10 percent in the market last week," he told IntraFish.
Some analysts have predicted a shrimp price crash once
But as everyone has been hit by the crisis -- reflected in the financial statements of many of the big players --Thai producers will actually be better off next year, he said.
High debt-level The analysts are cautious. While Suwantammarong said the government and industry bodies have done a great deal to stop the disease from spreading, farmers are esitating to seed farms.
They want to see the implemented measurements actually work. "It is difficult to boost shrimp output to the level before the disease started spreading," he told IntraFish.
The issue now is there are no funds available to raise the farms again, as the debt level of farmers has risen throughout the outbreaks, said Sujiravorakul.
"They would need some sort of support," he said.
Strengthening cooperation with neighbors Panisuan Jamnarnwej, president of the Thai Frozen Foods Association (TFFA), is somewhat more optimistic.
In a statement, he said with the help of "corrective measures from the Thai Department of Fisheries, our association is confident this crisis will come to an end soon."
The association is currently looking to strengthen its trade relationship with
"They can help enlarging and intensifying the scale of aquaculture as well as shrimp farming," Jamnarnwej said.
His aim is for
This cooperation could also help
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s seafood exports reached nearly USD 1.02 billion in July 2026, up 4.8% compared with the same month in 2025. In the first seven months of the year, export turnover totaled nearly USD 6.78 billion, an increase of 11.5% year on year. Surpassing the USD 1 billion mark in July further reinforces expectations that Vietnam’s seafood exports could exceed USD 12 billion for the full year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Market fluctuations, rising production costs, and increasingly stringent requirements from export markets are placing growing pressure on the shrimp industry. In response, Vinh Long Province is promoting high-tech shrimp farming integrated with production–consumption value chains to improve efficiency, reduce risks, and enhance the industry's value.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam's tilapia exports to Japan posted strong growth in the first half of 2026, while a promising new trend has emerged in the value-added product segment. Notably, Vietnamese tilapia fillets have been exported to Japan for use in sushi and sashimi, creating new opportunities to enhance the value of the industry in one of the world's most demanding seafood markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) After a relatively sluggish first quarter, Vietnam's exports of fish cakes and surimi showed a clearer recovery in the second quarter, particularly in June. Export value in the first six months of 2026 reached USD 148 million, down 2% year on year. However, the newly imposed 12.5% additional U.S. tariff on Vietnamese goods, intensifying competition in Northeast Asia, and increasingly stringent traceability requirements in the EU are making the outlook for the second half of the year more uncertain.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In June 2026, Vietnam's shrimp exports reached nearly USD 458 million, up 24% year-on-year. In the first six months of 2026, export value totaled USD 2.35 billion, an increase of 14.2% compared with the same period last year. Growth was driven mainly by the Chinese market and the strong performance of lobster exports, while shrimp exports continued to face pressure from U.S. tariffs and rising logistics costs.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) As part of Vietfish 2026, the Hosted Buyer Program is designed as a specialized B2B matchmaking initiative for selected international buyers, providing opportunities to meet directly with Vietnamese seafood exporters, gain the latest market insights, and experience Vietnam's seafood supply chain firsthand.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) A project titled "Sustainable Shrimp Industry Governance" has been launched in Ca Mau Province with the aim of supporting the transition of the province's shrimp industry toward higher quality, lower emissions, stronger governance capacity, improved supply chain traceability, and the development of a sustainable shrimp brand that meets the increasingly stringent requirements of export markets.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Khanh Hoa Provincial Agricultural Extension Center, in collaboration with the Northern Center for Marine Aquaculture Research and the Van Hung Public Service Center, recently organized a training course on disease-free golden pompano seed production. The program is part of a National Agricultural Extension Project aimed at developing industrial-scale seed production models to support sustainable marine aquaculture.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius exports have shown encouraging signs of recovery in 2026. In the first four months of the year, total export turnover reached USD 720 million, up 17% compared to the same period last year. This result reflects improving demand across many markets, as well as the efforts of Vietnamese pangasius enterprises to maintain production, secure orders, and adapt to changing market conditions.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The application of high technology in shrimp farming is delivering positive results in the coastal areas of Vinh Long Province, contributing to improved production efficiency and creating significant potential for further industry expansion. However, to fully capitalize on this potential, the province is focusing on aquaculture zoning, infrastructure investment, and promoting modern, sustainable production.
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