China & HK were still the top consuming markets for Vietnam’s pangasius in 2023. China's increased market openness than in early 2023 causes the value of pangasius exports to this market to gradually increase again. In 2024, demand from China will recover better than in 2023. Although pangasius products are widely used and popular in restaurant systems, export prices to this market has been low levels.
The lower sales in the US market in 2023 is mainly due to the high level of inventory in this country from the massive imports at the end of 2022, which is also the main reason for the continuous negative growth of pangasius exports to the US compared to the same period throughout 2023. In 2022 the value of US pangasius imports purchased from Vietnam reached the history record due to increased consumption demand after the Covid-19 epidemic.
After reducing high-priced inventory from 2022, the market may return to be more vibrant, but the recovery level will not be high. During the recent inspection by FSIS, Vietnamese pangasius was assessed well in terms of food safety, along with low tax rates, although still in the preliminary stage of the POR 19 administrative review period, there is high hope for fish businesses to penetrate this market. In addition to recovery opportunities for seafood exports to the US, businesses face numerous challenges. In particular, the increasing number of US seafood companies seeking approval from the US Department of Commerce as plaintiffs in the pangasius anti-dumping lawsuit makes annual administrative reviews increasingly complicated.
The results achieved by the pangasius export sector in 2023 also shed light on the export and consumption trends of 2024. Pangasius exports will not focus on frozen fillets - Vietnam's strong product, but will expand and gradually increase with added-value pangasius and by-products (fish maw, pangasius patties).
Global fluctuations in the last months of 2023 also have a certain impact on the trends and strategies of processors. Seafood from Russia, including Russian seafood processed by a third party, which is banned from importation by the US, could be an opportunity for Vietnamese pangasius exporters to the US.
In 2024, it is forecast that export prices will increase again, however, recent tensions in the Red Sea have also caused many difficulties in the transportation process, particularly concerning increased shipping costs.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to statistics from Vietnam Customs, Vietnam's tuna exports in October reached nearly $93 million, marking a 22% increase compared to the same period in 2023. In the first ten months of 2024, the total export value exceeded $821 million, up 18% compared to the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to Vietnam Customs data, pangasius exports to the EU reached USD 7 million in the first half of October 2024, marking a 27% year-on-year increase. As of October 15, 2024, cumulative exports to the EU totaled over USD 134 million, reflecting a slight 0.01% decrease compared to the same period last year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) According to data from Vietnam Customs, pangasius export revenue in October 2024 reached nearly $202 million, a 17% increase compared to October 2023. The cumulative export value for the first ten months of the year totaled $1.7 billion, marking a 9% year-on-year increase.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam's exports of crabs and other crustaceans continued to see high growth in September 2024, with a 54% increase compared to the same period in 2023. In the first nine months of the year, exports of crabs and other crustaceans reached over USD 228 million, a 67% increase year-over-year.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s shrimp exports reached $394 million in October 2024, up 24%. In the first ten months of this year, shrimp exports brought in $3.2 billion, up 13% compared to the same period last year. Exports to all major markets recorded double-digit growth in October.
International Development and Investment Corporation (IDI), a key member of the Sao Mai Group, has consistently ranked among the largest seafood producers and exporters in Vietnam.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) In recent years, the US has consistently been Vietnam’s largest seafood export market. Over the past five years, seafood export turnover to the US has ranged from 1.5 billion USD to 2.1 billion USD anually. Despite facing strict protective policies such as anti-dumping and countervailing duties, U.S. market demand remains high, and the quality of Vietnamese seafood continues to improve, helping to maintain and expand its position in this market.
(seafood.vasep .com.vn) The return of Donald Trump to the White House for a second term will bring significant impacts on Vietnam, particularly its pangasius export sector. Trump's economic policies, such as raising import tariffs, reducing corporate income taxes, and attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) back to the US, are expected to directly influence various industries in Vietnam.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The UAE ranked 16th among importers of Vietnamese shrimp from 2018 to 2022, accounting for approximately 0.5% of Vietnam's total shrimp export value. Annually, Vietnam exported around US$20 million worth of shrimp to this market.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The company also announced that its farms are well-prepared and will begin stocking in mid-November when the weather conditions are favorable.
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